MLB · 2026
Seattle Mariners3rd AL West - .472 pct vTue 25 Aug, 9:40 PM EDT Philadelphia Phillies2nd NL East - .547 pct
Match resultSeattle 47%Philadelphia 53%
What this game means
The two ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 4% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 8 points in the Playoffs race.
Seattle Mariners
Playoffs21%
Division16%
Pennantseason odds2%
Byeseason odds3%
Philadelphia Phillies
Playoffs85%
Division21%
Pennantseason odds9%
World Seriesseason odds5%
Byeseason odds2%
Seattle winPlayoffsSeattle Mariners21%22%▲ +1Philadelphia Phillies85%84%▼ -1
Philadelphia winPlayoffsSeattle Mariners21%14%▼ -7Philadelphia Phillies85%90%▲ +5
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AL West · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1HoustonDivision60%63-63.500-2TexasDivision24%62-64.49213SeattleDivision16%60-67.4723.5NL East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1AtlantaDivision79%74-53.583-2PhiladelphiaDivision21%70-58.5474.53MiamiDivision<1%64-64.50010.5The wild card · top 6 in the American League qualify
PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
6MinnesotaPlayoffs30%63-65.492-Playoff line
7TexasPlayoffs34%62-64.492-12SeattlePlayoffs21%60-67.4722.5The wild card · top 6 in the National League qualify
PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
5PhiladelphiaPlayoffs85%70-58.547+26San DiegoPlayoffs65%68-60.531-Playoff line
7ArizonaPlayoffs39%67-61.5231