MLB · 2026
Philadelphia Phillies2nd NL East - .547 pct vFri 25 Sep, 6:40 PM EDT Tampa Bay Rays1st AL East - .603 pct
Match resultPhiladelphia 54%Tampa Bay 46%
What this game means
The two ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 5% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 7 points in the Division race.
Philadelphia Phillies
Playoffs85%
Division21%
Pennantseason odds9%
World Seriesseason odds5%
Byeseason odds2%
Tampa Bay Rays
Playoffsmagic number 23>99%
Division80%
Pennantseason odds29%
World Seriesseason odds14%
Byeseason odds80%
Philadelphia winDivisionPhiladelphia Phillies21%23%▲ +2Tampa Bay Rays80%69%▼ -11
Tampa Bay winDivisionPhiladelphia Phillies21%15%▼ -6Tampa Bay Rays80%76%▼ -4
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AL East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1Tampa BayDivision80%76-50.603-2YankeesDivision18%71-55.56453BostonDivision3%68-59.5358.5NL East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1AtlantaDivision79%74-53.583-2PhiladelphiaDivision21%70-58.5474.53MiamiDivision<1%64-64.50010.5The wild card · top 6 in the American League qualify
PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
1Tampa BayPlayoffs>99%76-50.6036MinnesotaPlayoffs30%63-65.492-Playoff line
7TexasPlayoffs34%62-64.492-The wild card · top 6 in the National League qualify
PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
5PhiladelphiaPlayoffs85%70-58.547+26San DiegoPlayoffs65%68-60.531-Playoff line
7ArizonaPlayoffs39%67-61.5231