MLB · 2026
Philadelphia Phillies2nd NL East - .540 pct vSun 27 Sep, 2:30 PM EDT Tampa Bay Rays1st AL East - .609 pct
Match resultPhiladelphia 51%Tampa Bay 49%
What this game means
The two ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 11% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 45 points in the Playoffs race.
Philadelphia Phillies
Playoffs80%
Pennantseason odds5%
World Seriesseason odds3%
Tampa Bay Rays
Pennantseason odds35%
World Seriesseason odds16%
Byeseason odds>99%
Philadelphia winPlayoffsPhiladelphia Phillies80%>99%▲ +20Tampa Bay RaysClinched
Tampa Bay winPlayoffsPhiladelphia Phillies80%55%▼ -25Tampa Bay RaysClinched
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AL East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1Tampa BayDivisionClinched98-63.609-2YankeesDivisionOut93-68.57853BostonDivisionOut87-74.54011NL East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1AtlantaDivisionClinched94-67.584-2PhiladelphiaDivisionOut87-74.54073MiamiDivisionOut79-82.49115The wild card · top 6 in the American League qualify
PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
1Tampa BayPlayoffsClinched98-63.6096HoustonPlayoffs77%80-81.497Playoff line
7TexasPlayoffs23%80-81.4973The wild card · top 6 in the National League qualify