MLB · 2026

12th by playoff odds30 clubs

Arizona

3rd · 67-61

Playoffs39%

Elimination number

The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.

33

Lose the next 33 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upFriday · Home9:40 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 57%CIN 43%Win → 33% · Loss → 24%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Away19 AugBoston6Arizona±0732% → 32%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division<1%

Bye<1%

Pennant2%

World Series1%

3rd in the table · 12th by playoff odds.

NL West finish

1st2nd3rd4th5th

1st · division winner

Most likely 3rd. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

National League finish

1st6th · playoff line15th

Most likely 7th. The top 6 in the league make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Friday · Home9:40 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 57%CIN 43%Win → 33% · Loss → 24%Playoffs

Upcoming

Saturday · Home8:10 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 57%CIN 43%39% → 25% – 32%Playoffs Sunday · Home4:15 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 57%CIN 43%39% → 26% – 35%Playoffs Monday · Home9:40 PM EDTCubs99%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 49%CHC 51%39% → 26% – 37%Playoffs

Full schedule34 to play

Friday · Home9:40 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 57%CIN 43%39% → 24% – 33%Playoffs Saturday · Home8:10 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 57%CIN 43%39% → 25% – 32%Playoffs Sunday · Home4:15 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 57%CIN 43%39% → 26% – 35%Playoffs Monday · Home9:40 PM EDTCubs99%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 49%CHC 51%39% → 26% – 37%Playoffs Tuesday · Home9:40 PM EDTCubs99%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 49%CHC 51%39% → 25% – 36%Playoffs Wed 26 Aug · Home3:40 PM EDTCubs99%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 49%CHC 51%39% → 26% – 37%Playoffs Thu 27 Aug · Away9:45 PM EDTSan Francisco<1%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 45%ARI 55%39% → 26% – 38%Playoffs Fri 28 Aug · Away10:15 PM EDTSan Francisco<1%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 45%ARI 55%39% → 27% – 38%Playoffs Sat 29 Aug · Away4:05 PM EDTSan Francisco<1%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 45%ARI 55%39% → 27% – 39%Playoffs Sat 29 Aug · Away10:05 PM EDTSan Francisco<1%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 45%ARI 55%39% → 29% – 41%Playoffs Mon 31 Aug · Home9:40 PM EDTPhiladelphia85%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 50%PHI 50%39% → 29% – 43%Playoffs Tue 1 Sep · Home9:40 PM EDTPhiladelphia85%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 50%PHI 50%39% → 31% – 44%Playoffs Wed 2 Sep · Home3:40 PM EDTPhiladelphia85%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 50%PHI 50%39% → 31% – 44%Playoffs Fri 4 Sep · Away8:10 PM EDTHouston66%PlayoffsMatch resultHOU 52%ARI 48%39% → 32% – 43%Playoffs Sat 5 Sep · Away7:15 PM EDTHouston66%PlayoffsMatch resultHOU 52%ARI 48%39% → 33% – 43%Playoffs Sun 6 Sep · Away2:10 PM EDTHouston66%PlayoffsMatch resultHOU 52%ARI 48%39% → 33% – 44%Playoffs Mon 7 Sep · Away2:10 PM EDTKansas City<1%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 46%ARI 54%39% → 32% – 43%Playoffs Tue 8 Sep · Away7:40 PM EDTKansas City<1%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 46%ARI 54%39% → 32% – 43%Playoffs Wed 9 Sep · Away7:40 PM EDTKansas City<1%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 46%ARI 54%39% → 31% – 42%Playoffs Fri 11 Sep · Home9:40 PM EDTTexas34%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 57%TEX 43%39% → 31% – 42%Playoffs Sat 12 Sep · Home8:10 PM EDTTexas34%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 57%TEX 43%39% → 32% – 42%Playoffs Sun 13 Sep · Home4:10 PM EDTTexas34%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 57%TEX 43%39% → 32% – 41%Playoffs Mon 14 Sep · Home9:40 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 56%MIA 44%39% → 32% – 43%Playoffs Tue 15 Sep · Home9:40 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 56%MIA 44%39% → 33% – 43%Playoffs Wed 16 Sep · Home9:40 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 56%MIA 44%39% → 32% – 44%Playoffs Fri 18 Sep · Home9:40 PM EDTYankees>99%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 49%NYY 51%39% → 34% – 44%Playoffs Sat 19 Sep · Home8:10 PM EDTYankees>99%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 49%NYY 51%39% → 34% – 43%Playoffs Sun 20 Sep · Home4:10 PM EDTYankees>99%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 49%NYY 51%39% → 33% – 43%Playoffs Tue 22 Sep · Away8:40 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 40%ARI 60%39% → 33% – 42%Playoffs Wed 23 Sep · Away8:40 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 40%ARI 60%39% → 32% – 41%Playoffs Thu 24 Sep · Away3:10 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 40%ARI 60%39% → 33% – 42%Playoffs Fri 25 Sep · Away9:40 PM EDTSan Diego65%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 56%ARI 44%39% → 31% – 45%Playoffs Sat 26 Sep · Away8:40 PM EDTSan Diego65%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 56%ARI 44%39% → 33% – 48%Playoffs Sun 27 Sep · Away3:10 PM EDTSan Diego65%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 56%ARI 44%39% → 31% – 47%Playoffs

History

Final · Away19 AugBoston6Arizona±0732% → 32%Playoffs Final · Away18 AugBoston9Arizona▼ -10439% → 29%Playoffs Final · Away17 AugBoston11Arizona▼ -4143% → 39%Playoffs

All results128 played

Final · Away19 AugBoston6Arizona±0732% → 32%Playoffs Final · Away18 AugBoston9Arizona▼ -10439% → 29%Playoffs Final · Away17 AugBoston11Arizona▼ -4143% → 39%Playoffs Final · Away16 AugAtlanta5Arizona±0356% → 56%Playoffs Final · Away15 AugAtlanta3Arizona±01049% → 49%Playoffs Final · Away14 AugAtlanta0Arizona±0242% → 42%Playoffs Final · Home12 AugColorado6Arizona▼ -2455% → 53%Playoffs Final · Home11 AugColorado3Arizona▼ -2263% → 61%Playoffs Final · Home10 AugColorado0Arizona▲ +4958% → 62%Playoffs Final · Home9 AugDodgers2Arizona▲ +2457% → 59%Playoffs Final · Home8 AugDodgers2Arizona±0165% → 65%Playoffs Final · Home7 AugDodgers3Arizona▼ -3456% → 53%Playoffs Final · Home6 AugSan Diego5Arizona▼ -1163% → 62%Playoffs Final · Home5 AugSan Diego4Arizona▼ -21054% → 52%Playoffs Final · Home4 AugSan Diego9Arizona±0461% → 61%Playoffs Final · Home3 AugSan Diego1Arizona±0552% → 52%Playoffs Final · Away2 AugCleveland5Arizona▲ +1064% → 65%Playoffs Final · Away1 AugCleveland8Arizona▲ +11259% → 60%Playoffs Final · Away31 JulCleveland1Arizona▲ +1454% → 55%Playoffs Final · Away29 JulPittsburgh0Arizona▲ +9342% → 51%Playoffs Final · Away28 JulPittsburgh7Arizona▲ +1834% → 35%Playoffs Final · Away27 JulPittsburgh3Arizona▲ +1240% → 41%Playoffs Final · Away26 JulWashington10Arizona±0749% → 49%Playoffs Final · Away25 JulWashington5Arizona▼ -7356% → 49%Playoffs Final · Away24 JulWashington2Arizona±0348% → 48%Playoffs Final · Away23 JulSt. Louis6Arizona10 Final · Home22 JulAthletics5Arizona▲ +51534% → 39%Playoffs Final · Home21 JulAthletics5Arizona±0627% → 27%Playoffs Final · Home20 JulAthletics5Arizona2 Final · Home19 JulSt. Louis7Arizona8 Final · Home18 JulSt. Louis3Arizona5 Final · Home17 JulSt. Louis5Arizona4 Final · Away12 JulDodgers3Arizona5 Final · Away11 JulDodgers2Arizona9 Final · Away10 JulDodgers3Arizona9 Final · Away9 JulSan Diego1Arizona3 Final · Away8 JulSan Diego10Arizona4 Final · Away7 JulSan Diego4Arizona1 Final · Away6 JulSan Diego0Arizona8 Final · Home5 JulMilwaukee3Arizona2 Final · Home4 JulMilwaukee3Arizona4 Final · Home3 JulMilwaukee7Arizona4 Final · Home1 JulSan Francisco6Arizona4 Final · Home30 JunSan Francisco2Arizona8 Final · Home29 JunSan Francisco4Arizona5 Final · Away28 JunTampa Bay5Arizona1 Final · Away27 JunTampa Bay4Arizona2 Final · Away26 JunTampa Bay6Arizona1 Final · Away24 JunSt. Louis4Arizona9 Final · Away23 JunSt. Louis3Arizona4 Final · Away22 JunSt. Louis3Arizona2 Final · Home21 JunMinnesota4Arizona2 Final · Home20 JunMinnesota16Arizona8 Final · Home19 JunMinnesota5Arizona9 Final · Home17 JunAngels1Arizona8 Final · Home16 JunAngels7Arizona0 Final · Home15 JunAngels3Arizona4 Final · Away14 JunCincinnati3Arizona5 Final · Away13 JunCincinnati2Arizona1 Final · Away12 JunCincinnati2Arizona5 Final · Away11 JunMiami2Arizona0 Final · Away10 JunMiami8Arizona0 Final · Away9 JunMiami10Arizona6 Final · Home7 JunWashington1Arizona5 Final · Home6 JunWashington6Arizona1 Final · Home5 JunWashington14Arizona1 Final · Home4 JunDodgers2Arizona3 Final · Home3 JunDodgers7Arizona0 Final · Home2 JunDodgers6Arizona5 Final · Home1 JunDodgers1Arizona4 Final · Away31 MaySeattle3Arizona2 Final · Away30 MaySeattle5Arizona1 Final · Away29 MaySeattle7Arizona6 Final · Away27 MaySan Francisco2Arizona3 Final · Away26 MaySan Francisco5Arizona7 Final · Away25 MaySan Francisco2Arizona6 Final · Home24 MayColorado1Arizona9 Final · Home23 MayColorado4Arizona5 Final · Home22 MayColorado3Arizona2 Final · Home21 MayColorado1Arizona2 Final · Home20 MaySan Francisco3Arizona6 Final · Home19 MaySan Francisco3Arizona5 Final · Home18 MaySan Francisco2Arizona12 Final · Away17 MayColorado6Arizona8 Final · Away16 MayColorado4Arizona2 Final · Away15 MayColorado1Arizona9 Final · Away13 MayTexas6Arizona5 Final · Away12 MayTexas7Arizona4 Final · Away11 MayTexas0Arizona1 Final · Home10 MayMets1Arizona5 Final · Home9 MayMets1Arizona2 Final · Home8 MayMets3Arizona1 Final · Home7 MayPittsburgh4Arizona2 Final · Home6 MayPittsburgh1Arizona0 Final · Home5 MayPittsburgh0Arizona9 Final · Away3 MayCubs8Arizona4 Final · Away2 MayCubs2Arizona0 Final · Away1 MayCubs6Arizona5 Final · Away30 AprMilwaukee13Arizona1 Final · Away29 AprMilwaukee2Arizona6 Final · Away28 AprMilwaukee13Arizona2 Final · Home26 AprSan Diego7Arizona12 Final · Home25 AprSan Diego6Arizona4 Final · Home23 AprWhite Sox4Arizona1 Final · Home22 AprWhite Sox7Arizona11 Final · Home21 AprWhite Sox11Arizona5 Final · Home19 AprToronto10Arizona4 Final · Home18 AprToronto2Arizona6 Final · Home17 AprToronto3Arizona6 Final · Away15 AprBaltimore5Arizona8 Final · Away14 AprBaltimore3Arizona4 Final · Away13 AprBaltimore9Arizona7 Final · Away12 AprPhiladelphia3Arizona4 Final · Away11 AprPhiladelphia4Arizona3 Final · Away10 AprPhiladelphia4Arizona5 Final · Away9 AprMets1Arizona7 Final · Away8 AprMets2Arizona7 Final · Away7 AprMets4Arizona3 Final · Home5 AprAtlanta5Arizona6 Final · Home4 AprAtlanta1Arizona2 Final · Home3 AprAtlanta2Arizona0 Final · Home2 AprAtlanta17Arizona2 Final · Home1 AprDetroit0Arizona1 Final · Home31 MarDetroit5Arizona7 Final · Home30 MarDetroit6Arizona9 Final · Away28 MarDodgers3Arizona2 Final · Away27 MarDodgers5Arizona4 Final · Away26 MarDodgers8Arizona2

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round bye<1%

A possible long-shot route: 20 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Arizona 91+ wins

Win the division, host the Wild Card Series<1%

A possible long-shot route: 34 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Arizona 88+ wins

Wild Card berth, host the Wild Card Series2%

Arizona 88+ wins

Wild Card Series

4ArizonaHome5Cubs

Alongside it: 3 Dodgers v 6 San Diego

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 473. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Milwaukee	99	63
2	Atlanta	98	64
3	Dodgers	96	66
4	Arizona	90	72
5	Cubs	88	74
6	San Diego	86	76
-	Pittsburgh	86	76
-	St. Louis	85	77

Wild Card berth, on the road36%

Arizona 85+ wins

Wild Card Series

3MilwaukeeHome6Arizona

Alongside it: 4 Philadelphia v 5 Cubs

46% of this route
- above San DiegoSan Diego out of the postseason (96%) · San Diego under 88 wins (94%)
- below PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia under 94 wins (94%)
31% of this route
- above San DiegoSan Diego 1+ game back (93%)
- above PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia under 90 wins (97%)
23% of this route
- below San DiegoSan Diego under 93 wins (94%)
- above PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia under 91 wins (92%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 3,317. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Atlanta	95	67
2	Dodgers	95	67
3	Milwaukee	93	69
4	Philadelphia	90	72
5	Cubs	89	73
6	Arizona	87	75
-	St. Louis	85	77
-	San Diego	84	78

Miss the postseason61%

Arizona under 87 wins

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 12,219. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Dodgers	99	63
2	Milwaukee	97	65
3	Atlanta	95	67
4	Cubs	94	68
5	Philadelphia	89	73
6	San Diego	88	74
-	Arizona	83	79
-	St. Louis	82	80