MLB · 2026

Chicago Cubs 4-8Final Sat 15 Aug, 2:20 PM EDT St. Louis Cardinals

What was at stake

Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.

If Cubs had wonDivisionChicago Cubs23%22%▼ -1PlayoffsSt. Louis Cardinals6%2%▼ -4
What happenedSt. Louis winDivisionChicago Cubs23%11%▼ -12PlayoffsSt. Louis Cardinals6%4%▼ -2

What it changed

Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.

Chicago Cubs
Division23%23%±0
Playoffs>99%>99%±0
St. Louis Cardinals
Playoffs6%6%±0

Today: DivisionCubs 2nd at 10%; St. Louis 3rd at <1%.