MLB · 2026
San Diego Padres2nd NL West - .531 pct vSun 20 Sep, 4:10 PM EDT Miami Marlins3rd NL East - .500 pct
Match resultSan Diego 58%Miami 42%
What this game means
The two ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 4% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 11 points in the Playoffs race.
San Diego Padres
Playoffs65%
Pennantseason odds5%
World Seriesseason odds3%
Miami Marlins
Playoffs4%
San Diego winPlayoffsSan Diego Padres65%65%±0Miami Marlins4%3%▼ -1
Miami winPlayoffsSan Diego Padres65%54%▼ -11Miami Marlins4%7%▲ +3
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
NL East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1AtlantaDivision79%74-53.583-2PhiladelphiaDivision21%70-58.5474.53MiamiDivision<1%64-64.50010.5NL West · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1DodgersDivision99%76-51.598-2San DiegoDivision1%68-60.5318.53ArizonaDivision<1%67-61.5239.5The wild card · top 6 in the National League qualify
PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
6San DiegoPlayoffs65%68-60.531-Playoff line
7ArizonaPlayoffs39%67-61.52319MiamiPlayoffs4%64-64.5004