MLB · 2026

Tampa Bay Rays1st AL East - .603 pct vFri 18 Sep, 7:10 PM EDT Boston Red Sox3rd AL East - .535 pct

Match resultTampa Bay 53%Boston 47%

What this game means

The two ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.

At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 3% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.

The result is worth up to 8 points in the Division race.

Tampa Bay Rays
Playoffsmagic number 23>99%
Division80%
Pennantseason odds29%
World Seriesseason odds14%
Byeseason odds80%
Boston Red Sox
Playoffs97%
Division3%
Pennantseason odds14%
World Seriesseason odds7%
Byeseason odds3%
Tampa Bay winDivisionTampa Bay Rays80%79%▼ -1Boston Red Sox3%1%▼ -2
Boston winDivisionTampa Bay Rays80%70%▼ -10Boston Red Sox3%4%▲ +1

The race they're in

Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.

AL East · winner qualifies direct

The wild card · top 6 in the American League qualify