MLB · 2026

Tampa Bay Rays 3-2Final Sat 12 Sep, 6:10 PM EDT Houston Astros

What was at stake

Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.

What happenedTampa Bay winDivisionTampa Bay Rays87%85%▼ -2Houston Astros92%91%▼ -1PlayoffsHouston Astros93%92%▼ -1
If Houston had wonDivisionTampa Bay Rays87%75%▼ -12Houston Astros92%96%▲ +4PlayoffsHouston Astros93%97%▲ +4

What it changed

Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.

Tampa Bay Rays
Division87%87%±0
Playoffs>99%>99%±0
Houston Astros
Division92%92%±0
Playoffs93%93%±0

Today: DivisionTampa Bay 1st, clinched; Houston 1st at 77%.