MLB · 2026

Tampa Bay Rays 14-4Final Sun 13 Sep, 1:40 PM EDT Houston Astros

What was at stake

Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.

What happenedTampa Bay winDivisionTampa Bay Rays90%90%±0Houston Astros84%76%▼ -8PlayoffsTampa Bay RaysClinchedHouston Astros86%78%▼ -8
If Houston had wonDivisionTampa Bay Rays90%78%▼ -12Houston Astros84%88%▲ +4PlayoffsTampa Bay RaysClinchedHouston Astros86%90%▲ +4

What it changed

Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.

Tampa Bay Rays
Division90%90%±0
Playoffs>99%Clinched±0
Houston Astros
Division84%84%±0
Playoffs86%86%±0

Today: DivisionTampa Bay 1st, clinched; Houston 1st at 77%.