MLB · 2026
Tampa Bay Rays1st AL East - .603 pct vSun 13 Sep, 1:40 PM EDT Houston Astros1st AL West - .500 pct
Match resultTampa Bay 58%Houston 42%
What this game means
The two ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 4% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 10 points in the Playoffs race.
Tampa Bay Rays
Playoffsmagic number 23>99%
Division80%
Pennantseason odds29%
World Seriesseason odds14%
Byeseason odds80%
Houston Astros
Playoffs66%
Division60%
Pennantseason odds10%
World Seriesseason odds3%
Byeseason odds20%
Tampa Bay winPlayoffsHouston Astros66%65%▼ -1
Houston winPlayoffsHouston Astros66%75%▲ +9
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AL East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1Tampa BayDivision80%76-50.603-2YankeesDivision18%71-55.56453BostonDivision3%68-59.5358.5AL West · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1HoustonDivision60%63-63.500-2TexasDivision24%62-64.49213SeattleDivision16%60-67.4723.5The wild card · top 6 in the American League qualify
PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
1Tampa BayPlayoffs>99%76-50.6035HoustonPlayoffs66%63-63.5006MinnesotaPlayoffs30%63-65.492-Playoff line
7TexasPlayoffs34%62-64.492-