MLB · 2026

Tampa Bay Rays 3-1Final Fri 11 Sep, 7:10 PM EDT Houston Astros

What was at stake

Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.

What happenedTampa Bay winDivisionTampa Bay Rays80%76%▼ -4Houston Astros91%85%▼ -6PlayoffsHouston Astros92%87%▼ -5
If Houston had wonDivisionTampa Bay Rays80%64%▼ -16Houston Astros91%90%▼ -1PlayoffsHouston Astros92%92%±0

What it changed

Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.

Tampa Bay Rays
Division80%81%▲ +1
Playoffs>99%>99%±0
Houston Astros
Division91%91%±0
Playoffs92%93%▲ +1

Today: DivisionTampa Bay 1st, clinched; Houston 1st at 77%.