MLB · 2026

Tampa Bay Rays1st AL East - .603 pct vWed 2 Sep, 6:40 PM EDT New York Mets5th NL East - .453 pct

Match resultTampa Bay 60%Mets 40%

What this game means

The two ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.

At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 2% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.

The result is worth up to 8 points in the Division race.

Tampa Bay Rays
Playoffsmagic number 23>99%
Division80%
Pennantseason odds29%
World Seriesseason odds14%
Byeseason odds80%
Tampa Bay winDivisionTampa Bay Rays80%76%▼ -4
Mets winDivisionTampa Bay Rays80%67%▼ -13

The race they're in

Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.

AL East · winner qualifies direct

NL East · winner qualifies direct

The wild card · top 6 in the American League qualify

The wild card · top 6 in the National League qualify