MLB · 2026
Baltimore Orioles5th AL East - .480 pct vTue 22 Sep, 6:35 PM EDT Toronto Blue Jays4th AL East - .484 pct
Match resultBaltimore 51%Toronto 49%
What this game means
The two ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 5% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 11 points in the Playoffs race.
Baltimore Orioles
Playoffs9%
Toronto Blue Jays
Playoffs26%
Pennantseason odds3%
World Seriesseason odds1%
Baltimore winPlayoffsBaltimore Orioles9%13%▲ +4Toronto Blue Jays26%19%▼ -7
Toronto winPlayoffsBaltimore Orioles9%6%▼ -3Toronto Blue Jays26%30%▲ +4
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AL East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1Tampa BayDivision80%76-50.603-4TorontoDivision<1%62-66.484155BaltimoreDivision<1%61-66.48015.5The wild card · top 6 in the American League qualify
PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
6MinnesotaPlayoffs30%63-65.492-Playoff line
7TexasPlayoffs34%62-64.492-8TorontoPlayoffs26%62-66.484110BaltimorePlayoffs9%61-66.4801.5