MLB · 2026
Atlanta Braves1st NL East - .583 pct vThu 10 Sep, 12:15 PM EDT Tampa Bay Rays1st AL East - .603 pct
Match resultAtlanta 52%Tampa Bay 48%
What this game means
The two ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 4% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 8 points in the Division race.
Atlanta Braves
Playoffs98%
Division79%
Pennantseason odds11%
World Seriesseason odds6%
Byeseason odds20%
Tampa Bay Rays
Playoffsmagic number 23>99%
Division80%
Pennantseason odds29%
World Seriesseason odds14%
Byeseason odds80%
Atlanta winDivisionAtlanta Braves79%79%±0Tampa Bay Rays80%71%▼ -9
Tampa Bay winDivisionAtlanta Braves79%73%▼ -6Tampa Bay Rays80%79%▼ -1
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AL East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1Tampa BayDivision80%76-50.603-2YankeesDivision18%71-55.56453BostonDivision3%68-59.5358.5NL East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1AtlantaDivision79%74-53.583-2PhiladelphiaDivision21%70-58.5474.53MiamiDivision<1%64-64.50010.5The wild card · top 6 in the American League qualify
PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
1Tampa BayPlayoffs>99%76-50.6036MinnesotaPlayoffs30%63-65.492-Playoff line
7TexasPlayoffs34%62-64.492-The wild card · top 6 in the National League qualify
PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
3AtlantaPlayoffs98%74-53.5836San DiegoPlayoffs65%68-60.531-Playoff line
7ArizonaPlayoffs39%67-61.5231