MLS · 2026

New York City FC 3-1Final Sat 25 Jul, 7:30 PM EDT Chicago Fire

What was at stake

Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.

What happenedNY City winPlayoffsNew York City FC93%96%▲ +3Chicago Fire98%98%±0ConferenceChicago Fire<1%<1%±0
If it had been a drawPlayoffsNew York City FC93%92%▼ -1Chicago Fire98%98%±0ConferenceChicago Fire<1%<1%±0
If Chicago had wonPlayoffsNew York City FC93%90%▼ -3Chicago Fire98%99%▲ +1ConferenceChicago Fire<1%1%▲ +1

What it changed

Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.

New York City FC
Playoffs93%91%▼ -2
Chicago Fire
Playoffs98%98%±0

Today: PlayoffsNY City 7th at 82%; Chicago 4th at >99%.