USL Championship · 2026
New Mexico United 2-1Final Wed 26 Aug, 9:30 PM EDT Lexington
What was at stake
Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.
What happenedNew Mexico winConferenceNew Mexico United71%78%▲ +7Lexington3%1%▼ -2PlayoffsNew Mexico United>99%>99%±0Lexington91%87%▼ -4
If it had been a drawConferenceNew Mexico United71%67%▼ -4Lexington3%3%±0PlayoffsNew Mexico United>99%99%▼ -1Lexington91%91%±0
If Lexington had wonConferenceNew Mexico United71%60%▼ -11Lexington3%8%▲ +5PlayoffsNew Mexico United>99%99%▼ -1Lexington91%95%▲ +4
What it changed
Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.
New Mexico United
Conference71%71%±0
Playoffs>99%>99%±0
Lexington
Conference3%3%±0
Playoffs91%91%±0
Today: ConferenceNew Mexico 2nd at 35%; Lexington 4th at 2%.