USL Championship · 2026

Sacramento Republic 3-2Final Wed 30 Sep, 10:00 PM EDT Las Vegas Lights

What was at stake

Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.

What happenedSacramento winPlayoffsSacramento Republic99%>99%▲ +1Las Vegas Lights20%15%▼ -5ConferenceSacramento Republic7%10%▲ +3
If it had been a drawPlayoffsSacramento Republic99%97%▼ -2Las Vegas Lights20%21%▲ +1ConferenceSacramento Republic7%2%▼ -5
If Las Vegas had wonPlayoffsSacramento Republic99%95%▼ -4Las Vegas Lights20%49%▲ +29ConferenceSacramento Republic7%1%▼ -6

What it changed

Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.

Sacramento Republic
Playoffs99%>99%▲ +1
Conference7%11%▲ +4
Las Vegas Lights
Playoffs20%12%▼ -8
Conference<1%Out±0

Today: PlayoffsSacramento 3rd at >99%; Las Vegas 9th at 30%.