MLB · 2026
Baltimore Orioles5th AL East - .480 pct vSat 22 Aug, 7:05 PM EDT Tampa Bay Rays1st AL East - .603 pct
Match resultBaltimore 47%Tampa Bay 53%
What this game means
The two ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 3% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 8 points in the Division race.
Baltimore Orioles
Playoffs9%
Tampa Bay Rays
Playoffsmagic number 23>99%
Division80%
Pennantseason odds29%
World Seriesseason odds14%
Byeseason odds80%
Baltimore winDivisionTampa Bay Rays80%68%▼ -12
Tampa Bay winDivisionTampa Bay Rays80%75%▼ -5
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AL East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1Tampa BayDivision80%76-50.603-2YankeesDivision18%71-55.56455BaltimoreDivision<1%61-66.48015.5The wild card · top 6 in the American League qualify