MLB · 2026

Baltimore Orioles 5-3Final Fri 21 Aug, 7:15 PM EDT Tampa Bay Rays

What was at stake

Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.

What happenedBaltimore winDivisionTampa Bay Rays72%56%▼ -16PlayoffsBaltimore Orioles6%7%▲ +1
If Tampa Bay had wonDivisionTampa Bay Rays72%65%▼ -7PlayoffsBaltimore Orioles6%3%▼ -3

What it changed

Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.

Baltimore Orioles
Playoffs6%9%▲ +3
Tampa Bay Rays
Division72%61%▼ -11
Playoffs>99%>99%±0

Today: DivisionBaltimore 4th, out; Tampa Bay 1st, clinched.