Magic Number.
MLB · 2026
26th by playoff odds30 clubs

Kansas City

5th · 54-74
Playoffs<1%
Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
24

Lose the next 24 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Could be eliminated as soon as Mon 7 Sep.

Next upTonight · Home2:10 PM EDTKansas City<1%PlayoffsAthletics<1%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 59%ATH 41%Win → <1% · Loss → <1%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Home19 AugAthletics7Kansas City±09<1% → <1%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division<1%
Bye<1%
Pennant<1%
World Series<1%

5th in the table · 26th by playoff odds.

AL Central finish
1st2nd3rd4th5th
1st · division winner

Most likely 5th. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

American League finish
1st6th · playoff line15th

Most likely 13th. The top 6 in the league make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Tonight · Home2:10 PM EDTKansas City<1%PlayoffsAthletics<1%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 59%ATH 41%Win → <1% · Loss → <1%Playoffs

Upcoming

Tomorrow · Home8:10 PM EDTDetroit14%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 49%DET 51%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSaturday · Home7:15 PM EDTDetroit14%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 49%DET 51%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSunday · Home2:10 PM EDTDetroit14%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 49%DET 51%<1% → 0% – 0%Playoffs
Full schedule34 to play
Tonight · Home2:10 PM EDTAthletics<1%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 59%ATH 41%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsTomorrow · Home8:10 PM EDTDetroit14%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 49%DET 51%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSaturday · Home7:15 PM EDTDetroit14%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 49%DET 51%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSunday · Home2:10 PM EDTDetroit14%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 49%DET 51%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsTuesday · Away7:07 PM EDTToronto27%PlayoffsMatch resultTOR 60%KC 40%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWednesday · Away7:07 PM EDTToronto27%PlayoffsMatch resultTOR 60%KC 40%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsThu 27 Aug · Away7:07 PM EDTToronto27%PlayoffsMatch resultTOR 60%KC 40%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsFri 28 Aug · Away7:10 PM EDTCleveland19%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 57%KC 43%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Away4:10 PM EDTCleveland19%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 57%KC 43%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSun 30 Aug · Away1:40 PM EDTCleveland19%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 57%KC 43%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsTue 1 Sep · Home7:40 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 49%MIA 51%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWed 2 Sep · Home7:40 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 49%MIA 51%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsThu 3 Sep · Home7:40 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 49%MIA 51%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsFri 4 Sep · Home8:10 PM EDTToronto27%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 47%TOR 53%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Home7:10 PM EDTToronto27%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 47%TOR 53%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSun 6 Sep · Home2:10 PM EDTToronto27%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 47%TOR 53%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsMon 7 Sep · Home2:10 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 46%ARI 54%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsTue 8 Sep · Home7:40 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 46%ARI 54%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWed 9 Sep · Home7:40 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 46%ARI 54%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsFri 11 Sep · Away7:10 PM EDTBoston97%PlayoffsMatch resultBOS 64%KC 36%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 12 Sep · Away4:10 PM EDTBoston97%PlayoffsMatch resultBOS 64%KC 36%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSun 13 Sep · Away1:35 PM EDTBoston97%PlayoffsMatch resultBOS 64%KC 36%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsTue 15 Sep · Away8:10 PM EDTHouston73%PlayoffsMatch resultHOU 60%KC 40%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWed 16 Sep · Away8:10 PM EDTHouston73%PlayoffsMatch resultHOU 60%KC 40%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsThu 17 Sep · Away7:15 PM EDTHouston73%PlayoffsMatch resultHOU 60%KC 40%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsFri 18 Sep · Away6:40 PM EDTPittsburgh1%PlayoffsMatch resultPIT 57%KC 43%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 19 Sep · Away6:40 PM EDTPittsburgh1%PlayoffsMatch resultPIT 57%KC 43%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSun 20 Sep · Away1:35 PM EDTPittsburgh1%PlayoffsMatch resultPIT 57%KC 43%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsTue 22 Sep · Home7:40 PM EDTWhite Sox85%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 49%CWS 51%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWed 23 Sep · Home7:40 PM EDTWhite Sox85%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 49%CWS 51%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsThu 24 Sep · Home2:10 PM EDTWhite Sox85%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 49%CWS 51%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsFri 25 Sep · Home7:40 PM EDTCleveland19%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 50%CLE 50%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 26 Sep · Home7:10 PM EDTCleveland19%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 50%CLE 50%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSun 27 Sep · Home3:10 PM EDTCleveland19%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 50%CLE 50%<1% → 0% – 0%Playoffs

History

Final · Home19 AugAthletics7Kansas City±09<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home18 AugAthletics3Kansas City±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home17 AugAthletics5Kansas City±09<1% → <1%Playoffs
All results128 played
Final · Home19 AugAthletics7Kansas City±09<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home18 AugAthletics3Kansas City±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home17 AugAthletics5Kansas City±09<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away16 AugAngels0Kansas City±03<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away15 AugAngels1Kansas City±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away14 AugAngels6Kansas City±07<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away12 AugDodgers4Kansas City±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away11 AugDodgers5Kansas City±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away10 AugDodgers6Kansas City±05<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home9 AugCubs10Kansas City±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home8 AugCubs3Kansas City±06<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home7 AugCubs6Kansas City±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home6 AugMinnesota4Kansas City±03<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home5 AugMinnesota1Kansas City±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home4 AugMinnesota2Kansas City±08<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away2 AugColorado8Kansas City±01<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away1 AugColorado12Kansas City±06<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away31 JulColorado3Kansas City±01<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away30 JulMinnesota4Kansas City±03<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away29 JulMinnesota0Kansas City±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away28 JulMinnesota3Kansas City±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away26 JulDetroit4Kansas City±05<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 JulDetroit2Kansas City±03<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away24 JulDetroit2Kansas City±01<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away23 JulDetroit4Kansas City±03<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home22 JulSan Francisco4Kansas City±05<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home21 JulSan Francisco2Kansas City±03<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home20 JulSan Francisco3Kansas City4Final · Home19 JulSan Diego19Kansas City2Final · Home18 JulSan Diego1Kansas City6Final · Home17 JulSan Diego6Kansas City7Final · Away12 JulBaltimore8Kansas City2Final · Away11 JulBaltimore6Kansas City1Final · Away10 JulBaltimore5Kansas City3Final · Away9 JulMets7Kansas City3Final · Away8 JulMets6Kansas City2Final · Away7 JulMets12Kansas City16Final · Home6 JulPhiladelphia1Kansas City15Final · Home5 JulPhiladelphia2Kansas City5Final · Home4 JulPhiladelphia6Kansas City1Final · Home2 JulTampa Bay5Kansas City2Final · Home1 JulTampa Bay4Kansas City0Final · Home30 JunTampa Bay10Kansas City4Final · Away28 JunWhite Sox4Kansas City5Final · Away27 JunWhite Sox2Kansas City1Final · Away26 JunWhite Sox22Kansas City1Final · Away25 JunTampa Bay13Kansas City2Final · Away24 JunTampa Bay5Kansas City3Final · Away23 JunTampa Bay5Kansas City12Final · Away22 JunTampa Bay1Kansas City2Final · Home21 JunSt. Louis12Kansas City10Final · Home19 JunSt. Louis5Kansas City6Final · Home18 JunSt. Louis6Kansas City14Final · Away17 JunWashington2Kansas City6Final · Away16 JunWashington6Kansas City4Final · Away15 JunWashington7Kansas City3Final · Home14 JunHouston0Kansas City4Final · Home13 JunHouston8Kansas City7Final · Home12 JunHouston10Kansas City8Final · Home11 JunTexas4Kansas City2Final · Home10 JunTexas6Kansas City4Final · Home9 JunTexas3Kansas City5Final · Away7 JunMinnesota5Kansas City6Final · Away6 JunMinnesota2Kansas City3Final · Away5 JunMinnesota5Kansas City3Final · Away4 JunMinnesota6Kansas City8Final · Away3 JunCincinnati2Kansas City5Final · Away2 JunCincinnati4Kansas City3Final · Away1 JunCincinnati2Kansas City9Final · Away31 MayTexas6Kansas City3Final · Away30 MayTexas7Kansas City6Final · Away29 MayTexas9Kansas City1Final · Home27 MayYankees7Kansas City0Final · Home26 MayYankees15Kansas City1Final · Home25 MayYankees4Kansas City3Final · Home24 MaySeattle6Kansas City8Final · Home23 MaySeattle0Kansas City5Final · Home22 MaySeattle2Kansas City0Final · Home20 MayBoston4Kansas City3Final · Home19 MayBoston7Kansas City1Final · Home18 MayBoston3Kansas City1Final · Away17 MaySt. Louis0Kansas City2Final · Away16 MaySt. Louis4Kansas City2Final · Away15 MaySt. Louis5Kansas City4Final · Away14 MayWhite Sox6Kansas City2Final · Away13 MayWhite Sox6Kansas City5Final · Away12 MayWhite Sox6Kansas City5Final · Home10 MayDetroit6Kansas City3Final · Home9 MayDetroit1Kansas City5Final · Home8 MayDetroit3Kansas City4Final · Home7 MayCleveland8Kansas City5Final · Home6 MayCleveland3Kansas City1Final · Home5 MayCleveland3Kansas City5Final · Home4 MayCleveland2Kansas City6Final · Away3 MaySeattle1Kansas City4Final · Away2 MaySeattle2Kansas City3Final · Away1 MaySeattle6Kansas City7Final · Away30 AprAthletics6Kansas City3Final · Away29 AprAthletics5Kansas City2Final · Away28 AprAthletics1Kansas City4Final · Home26 AprAngels9Kansas City11Final · Home25 AprAngels1Kansas City12Final · Home24 AprAngels3Kansas City6Final · Home22 AprBaltimore8Kansas City6Final · Home21 AprBaltimore5Kansas City6Final · Home20 AprBaltimore7Kansas City5Final · Away19 AprYankees7Kansas City0Final · Away18 AprYankees13Kansas City4Final · Away17 AprYankees4Kansas City2Final · Away16 AprDetroit10Kansas City9Final · Away15 AprDetroit2Kansas City1Final · Away14 AprDetroit2Kansas City1Final · Home12 AprWhite Sox6Kansas City5Final · Home11 AprWhite Sox0Kansas City2Final · Home10 AprWhite Sox0Kansas City2Final · Home9 AprWhite Sox2Kansas City0Final · Away8 AprCleveland10Kansas City2Final · Away7 AprCleveland2Kansas City1Final · Away6 AprCleveland2Kansas City4Final · Home5 AprMilwaukee8Kansas City5Final · Home4 AprMilwaukee2Kansas City8Final · Home4 AprMilwaukee5Kansas City2Final · Home2 AprMinnesota5Kansas City1Final · Home1 AprMinnesota9Kansas City13Final · Home30 MarMinnesota1Kansas City3Final · Away29 MarAtlanta1Kansas City4Final · Away28 MarAtlanta6Kansas City2Final · Away27 MarAtlanta6Kansas City0

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-03-302026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round byeNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Win the division, host the Wild Card SeriesNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Wild Card berth, host the Wild Card SeriesNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Wild Card berth, on the road<1%

A possible long-shot route: 2 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Kansas City 80+ wins

Miss the postseason>99%

Kansas City under 74 wins

How the table finishedthe middle season
The American League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 19,998. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWL
1Tampa Bay9468
2White Sox8577
3Texas8181
4Boston9072
5Toronto8478
6Yankees8478
-Detroit8181
-Baltimore8082
-Kansas City6993