Magic Number.
MLB · 2026
28th by playoff odds30 clubs

Mets

5th · 58-70
Playoffs<1%
Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
25

Lose the next 25 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Could be eliminated as soon as Mon 7 Sep.

Next upFriday · Away7:40 PM EDTMets<1%PlayoffsWhite Sox84%PlayoffsMatch resultCWS 54%NYM 46%Win → <1% · Loss → <1%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Home19 AugSan Diego2Mets±04<1% → <1%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division<1%
Bye<1%
Pennant<1%
World Series<1%

5th in the table · 28th by playoff odds.

NL East finish
1st2nd3rd4th5th
1st · division winner

Most likely 5th. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

National League finish
1st6th · playoff line15th

Most likely 13th. The top 6 in the league make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Friday · Away7:40 PM EDTMets<1%PlayoffsWhite Sox84%PlayoffsMatch resultCWS 54%NYM 46%Win → <1% · Loss → <1%Playoffs

Upcoming

Saturday · Away7:10 PM EDTWhite Sox84%PlayoffsMatch resultCWS 54%NYM 46%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSunday · Away2:10 PM EDTWhite Sox84%PlayoffsMatch resultCWS 54%NYM 46%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsTuesday · Home7:10 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 43%MIL 57%<1% → 0% – 0%Playoffs
Full schedule34 to play
Friday · Away7:40 PM EDTWhite Sox84%PlayoffsMatch resultCWS 54%NYM 46%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSaturday · Away7:10 PM EDTWhite Sox84%PlayoffsMatch resultCWS 54%NYM 46%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSunday · Away2:10 PM EDTWhite Sox84%PlayoffsMatch resultCWS 54%NYM 46%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsTuesday · Home7:10 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 43%MIL 57%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWed 26 Aug · Home7:10 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 43%MIL 57%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsThu 27 Aug · Home7:10 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 43%MIL 57%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsFri 28 Aug · Home7:10 PM EDTHouston66%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 51%HOU 49%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Home4:10 PM EDTHouston66%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 51%HOU 49%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSun 30 Aug · Home3:10 PM EDTHouston66%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 51%HOU 49%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsMon 31 Aug · Away6:40 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultTB 60%NYM 40%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsTue 1 Sep · Away6:40 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultTB 60%NYM 40%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsWed 2 Sep · Away6:40 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultTB 60%NYM 40%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsFri 4 Sep · Home7:10 PM EDTSan Francisco<1%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 59%SF 41%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Home4:10 PM EDTSan Francisco<1%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 59%SF 41%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSun 6 Sep · Home1:40 PM EDTSan Francisco<1%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 59%SF 41%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsMon 7 Sep · Away1:10 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 55%NYM 45%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsTue 8 Sep · Away6:40 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 55%NYM 45%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWed 9 Sep · Away6:40 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 55%NYM 45%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsFri 11 Sep · Away7:05 PM EDTYankees>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNYY 61%NYM 39%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 12 Sep · Away1:35 PM EDTYankees>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNYY 61%NYM 39%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSun 13 Sep · Away1:35 PM EDTYankees>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNYY 61%NYM 39%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsMon 14 Sep · Home7:10 PM EDTBaltimore9%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 53%BAL 47%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsTue 15 Sep · Home7:10 PM EDTBaltimore9%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 53%BAL 47%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsWed 16 Sep · Home7:10 PM EDTBaltimore9%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 53%BAL 47%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsThu 17 Sep · Home7:15 PM EDTPhiladelphia85%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 46%PHI 54%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsFri 18 Sep · Home7:15 PM EDTPhiladelphia85%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 46%PHI 54%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 19 Sep · Home4:10 PM EDTPhiladelphia85%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 46%PHI 54%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsSun 20 Sep · Home1:40 PM EDTPhiladelphia85%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 46%PHI 54%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsTue 22 Sep · Away8:05 PM EDTTexas34%PlayoffsMatch resultTEX 53%NYM 47%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWed 23 Sep · Away8:05 PM EDTTexas34%PlayoffsMatch resultTEX 53%NYM 47%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsThu 24 Sep · Away2:35 PM EDTTexas34%PlayoffsMatch resultTEX 53%NYM 47%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsFri 25 Sep · Away6:45 PM EDTWashington<1%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 50%NYM 50%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 26 Sep · Away4:05 PM EDTWashington<1%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 50%NYM 50%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSun 27 Sep · Away3:05 PM EDTWashington<1%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 50%NYM 50%<1% → 0% – 0%Playoffs

History

Final · Home19 AugSan Diego2Mets±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home18 AugSan Diego5Mets±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home17 AugSan Diego1Mets±02<1% → <1%Playoffs
All results128 played
Final · Home19 AugSan Diego2Mets±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home18 AugSan Diego5Mets±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home17 AugSan Diego1Mets±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home16 AugWashington3Mets±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home15 AugWashington4Mets±05<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home14 AugWashington1Mets±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away12 AugAtlanta6Mets±03<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away11 AugAtlanta4Mets±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away10 AugAtlanta5Mets±08<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away9 AugPittsburgh1Mets±011<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away8 AugPittsburgh9Mets±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away7 AugPittsburgh4Mets±06<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away6 AugCleveland6Mets±013<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away5 AugCleveland5Mets±06<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away4 AugCleveland2Mets±06<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home2 AugMiami2Mets±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home1 AugMiami6Mets±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home31 JulMiami5Mets±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home30 JulMiami2Mets±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home29 JulAtlanta1Mets±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home29 JulAtlanta2Mets±03<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home27 JulAtlanta3Mets±014<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home26 JulDodgers3Mets±08<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home25 JulDodgers4Mets±03<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home24 JulDodgers4Mets±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away22 JulMilwaukee4Mets±03<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away21 JulMilwaukee0Mets±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away20 JulMilwaukee8Mets3Final · Away19 JulPhiladelphia1Mets6Final · Away18 JulPhiladelphia6Mets1Final · Away16 JulPhiladelphia1Mets4Final · Home12 JulBoston3Mets2Final · Home11 JulBoston4Mets0Final · Home10 JulBoston6Mets2Final · Home9 JulKansas City3Mets7Final · Home8 JulKansas City2Mets6Final · Home7 JulKansas City16Mets12Final · Away6 JulAtlanta6Mets7Final · Away5 JulAtlanta9Mets10Final · Away4 JulAtlanta14Mets3Final · Away3 JulAtlanta5Mets3Final · Away1 JulToronto9Mets3Final · Away30 JunToronto0Mets3Final · Away29 JunToronto2Mets1Final · Home28 JunPhiladelphia5Mets4Final · Home27 JunPhiladelphia2Mets6Final · Home26 JunPhiladelphia2Mets1Final · Home25 JunCubs4Mets3Final · Home24 JunCubs10Mets5Final · Home24 JunCubs10Mets3Final · Home23 JunCubs9Mets6Final · Away21 JunPhiladelphia6Mets2Final · Away20 JunPhiladelphia15Mets3Final · Away18 JunPhiladelphia4Mets6Final · Away17 JunCincinnati1Mets9Final · Away16 JunCincinnati5Mets3Final · Away15 JunCincinnati12Mets0Final · Home14 JunAtlanta1Mets8Final · Home13 JunAtlanta3Mets1Final · Home12 JunAtlanta5Mets7Final · Home11 JunSt. Louis4Mets5Final · Home10 JunSt. Louis9Mets2Final · Home9 JunSt. Louis7Mets0Final · Away7 JunSan Diego3Mets7Final · Away6 JunSan Diego3Mets2Final · Away5 JunSan Diego0Mets5Final · Away3 JunSeattle1Mets7Final · Away2 JunSeattle8Mets3Final · Away1 JunSeattle3Mets2Final · Home31 MayMiami1Mets10Final · Home30 MayMiami1Mets6Final · Home29 MayMiami7Mets9Final · Home27 MayCincinnati2Mets4Final · Home26 MayCincinnati7Mets2Final · Home25 MayCincinnati7Mets2Final · Away24 MayMiami4Mets0Final · Away23 MayMiami4Mets1Final · Away22 MayMiami2Mets1Final · Away21 MayWashington1Mets2Final · Away20 MayWashington8Mets4Final · Away19 MayWashington9Mets6Final · Away18 MayWashington7Mets16Final · Home17 MayYankees6Mets7Final · Home16 MayYankees3Mets6Final · Home15 MayYankees5Mets2Final · Home14 MayDetroit4Mets9Final · Home13 MayDetroit2Mets3Final · Home12 MayDetroit2Mets10Final · Away10 MayArizona5Mets1Final · Away9 MayArizona2Mets1Final · Away8 MayArizona1Mets3Final · Away7 MayColorado6Mets2Final · Away6 MayColorado5Mets10Final · Away4 MayColorado2Mets4Final · Away3 MayAngels1Mets5Final · Away2 MayAngels4Mets3Final · Away1 MayAngels3Mets4Final · Home30 AprWashington5Mets4Final · Home29 AprWashington14Mets2Final · Home28 AprWashington0Mets8Final · Home26 AprColorado3Mets0Final · Home26 AprColorado3Mets1Final · Home24 AprColorado4Mets3Final · Home23 AprMinnesota8Mets10Final · Home22 AprMinnesota2Mets3Final · Home21 AprMinnesota5Mets3Final · Away19 AprCubs2Mets1Final · Away18 AprCubs4Mets2Final · Away17 AprCubs12Mets4Final · Away15 AprDodgers8Mets2Final · Away14 AprDodgers2Mets1Final · Away13 AprDodgers4Mets0Final · Home12 AprAthletics1Mets0Final · Home11 AprAthletics11Mets6Final · Home10 AprAthletics4Mets0Final · Home9 AprArizona7Mets1Final · Home8 AprArizona7Mets2Final · Home7 AprArizona3Mets4Final · Away5 AprSan Francisco2Mets5Final · Away4 AprSan Francisco0Mets9Final · Away3 AprSan Francisco3Mets10Final · Away2 AprSan Francisco7Mets2Final · Away1 AprSt. Louis2Mets1Final · Away31 MarSt. Louis3Mets0Final · Away30 MarSt. Louis2Mets4Final · Home29 MarPittsburgh4Mets3Final · Home28 MarPittsburgh2Mets4Final · Home26 MarPittsburgh7Mets11

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-03-302026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round byeNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Win the division, host the Wild Card SeriesNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Wild Card berth, host the Wild Card SeriesNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Wild Card berth, on the roadNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Miss the postseason>99%

Mets under 79 wins

How the table finishedthe middle season
The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 20,000. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWL
1Cubs9666
2Philadelphia9270
3Dodgers9171
4Milwaukee9666
5St. Louis8676
6San Diego8676
-Miami8577
-Arizona8478
-Mets7488