MLS · 2026
St. Louis City 2-1Final Sat 22 Aug, 8:30 PM EDT Houston Dynamo
What was at stake
Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.
What happenedSt. Louis winPlayoffsSt. Louis City74%81%▲ +7ConferenceSt. Louis City<1%1%▲ +1Houston Dynamo9%5%▼ -4Supporters' ShieldSt. Louis City<1%1%▲ +1Houston Dynamo1%1%±0
If it had been a drawPlayoffsSt. Louis City74%68%▼ -6ConferenceSt. Louis City<1%<1%±0Houston Dynamo9%6%▼ -3Supporters' ShieldSt. Louis City<1%<1%±0Houston Dynamo1%1%±0
If Houston had wonPlayoffsSt. Louis City74%61%▼ -13ConferenceSt. Louis City<1%<1%±0Houston Dynamo9%12%▲ +3Supporters' ShieldSt. Louis City<1%<1%±0Houston Dynamo1%2%▲ +1
What it changed
Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.
St. Louis City
Playoffs74%86%▲ +12
Conference<1%1%▲ +1
Houston Dynamo
Playoffs99%>99%▲ +1
Conference9%18%▲ +9