MLS · 2026
St. Louis City 4-2Final Sat 12 Sep, 8:30 PM EDT Minnesota United FC
What was at stake
Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.
What happenedSt. Louis winPlayoffsSt. Louis City97%99%▲ +2Minnesota United FC32%26%▼ -6ConferenceSt. Louis City1%1%±0
If it had been a drawPlayoffsSt. Louis City97%97%±0Minnesota United FC32%28%▼ -4ConferenceSt. Louis City1%1%±0
If Minnesota had wonPlayoffsSt. Louis City97%94%▼ -3Minnesota United FC32%45%▲ +13ConferenceSt. Louis City1%<1%▼ -1
What it changed
Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.
St. Louis City
Playoffs97%>99%▲ +3
Conference1%2%▲ +1
Minnesota United FC
Playoffs32%24%▼ -8