MLS · 2026

San Jose Earthquakes 1-0Final Sat 12 Sep, 10:30 PM EDT Houston Dynamo

What was at stake

Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.

What happenedSan Jose winConferenceSan Jose Earthquakes<1%3%▲ +3Houston Dynamo12%7%▼ -5PlayoffsSan Jose Earthquakes95%98%▲ +3Supporters' ShieldHouston Dynamo1%<1%▼ -1
If it had been a drawConferenceSan Jose Earthquakes<1%<1%±0Houston Dynamo12%10%▼ -2PlayoffsSan Jose Earthquakes95%94%▼ -1Supporters' ShieldHouston Dynamo1%<1%▼ -1
If Houston had wonConferenceSan Jose Earthquakes<1%<1%±0Houston Dynamo12%19%▲ +7PlayoffsSan Jose Earthquakes95%91%▼ -4Supporters' ShieldHouston Dynamo1%1%±0

What it changed

Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.

San Jose Earthquakes
Conference<1%1%▲ +1
Playoffs95%99%▲ +4
Houston Dynamo
Conference12%6%▼ -6
Playoffs>99%>99%±0
Supporters' Shield1%<1%▼ -1

Today: ConferenceSan Jose 4th at 4%; Houston 5th at 2%.