Magic Number - San Jose Earthquakes 2026

Playoffs91%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

12

Win the next 12 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Happening nowIn progressAwayStarted 10:30 PM EDTSan JoseLA Galaxy

Last resultFinal · Home15 AugSt. Louis3San Jose±0196% → 96%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference1%

Supporters' Shield<1%

MLS Cup2%

4th in the table · 11th by playoff odds.

Western Conference finish

1st9th · playoff line15th

Most likely 4th. The top 9 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The game in progress, what follows it, and what already happened.

Happening now

In progressAwayStarted 10:30 PM EDTSan JoseLA Galaxy

Upcoming

Saturday · Home10:30 PM EDTMinnesota43%PlayoffsMatch resultSJ 42%Draw 26%MIN 32%91% → 86% – 97%Playoffs Sat 29 Aug · Away8:30 PM EDTHouston99%PlayoffsMatch resultHOU 51%Draw 25%SJ 24%91% → 89% – 97%Playoffs Sat 5 Sep · Away8:30 PM EDTAustin1%PlayoffsMatch resultATX 38%Draw 27%SJ 35%91% → 87% – 96%Playoffs

Full schedule15 to play

History

Final · Home15 AugSt. Louis3San Jose±0196% → 96%Playoffs Final · Away1 AugCincinnati4San Jose±0298% → 98%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulLA Galaxy1San Jose▼ -1199% → 98%Playoffs

All results19 played

Final · Home15 AugSt. Louis3San Jose±0196% → 96%Playoffs Final · Away1 AugCincinnati4San Jose±0298% → 98%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulLA Galaxy1San Jose▼ -1199% → 98%Playoffs Final · Home22 JulOrlando4San Jose±0099% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away23 MayPortland1San Jose3 Final · Home16 MayDallas3San Jose2 Final · Away13 MaySeattle3San Jose2 Final · Home9 MayVancouver1San Jose1 Final · Away2 MayToronto1San Jose1 Final · Away25 AprSt. Louis2San Jose3 Final · Home22 AprAustin1San Jose5 Final · Away19 AprLAFC1San Jose4 Final · Away11 AprSporting KC1San Jose3 Final · Home4 AprSan Diego0San Jose3 Final · Away21 MarVancouver0San Jose1 Final · Home15 MarSeattle1San Jose0 Final · Away7 MarPhiladelphia0San Jose1 Final · Home28 FebAtlanta0San Jose2 Final · Home21 FebSporting KC0San Jose3

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Reach Round One directly, at home38%

San Jose 52+ points

Round One

2San JoseHome7Seattle

Alongside it: 1 Vancouver v Wild Card winner · 3 LAFC v 6 Salt Lake · 4 Houston v 5 Dallas

85% of this route
- above DallasDallas 1+ point back (93%)
15% of this route
- below DallasDallas under 64 points (90%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 6,511. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Vancouver	68
2	San Jose	57
3	LAFC	55
4	Houston	54
5	Dallas	51
6	Salt Lake	50
7	Seattle	49
8	St. Louis	48
9	Colorado	46
-	Portland	46
-	San Diego	43

Reach Round One directly, on the road38%

San Jose 48+ points

Round One

2LAFCHome7San Jose

Alongside it: 1 Vancouver v Wild Card winner · 3 Dallas v 6 Minnesota · 4 Houston v 5 Salt Lake

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 7,691. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Vancouver	65
2	LAFC	58
3	Dallas	58
4	Houston	57
5	Salt Lake	55
6	Minnesota	53
7	San Jose	51
8	Seattle	48
9	Colorado	47
-	St. Louis	47
-	San Diego	43

Host the Wild Card game8%

San Jose 46+ points

Wild Card

8San JoseHome9Seattle

81% of this route
- below Salt LakeSalt Lake under 60 points (93%)
19% of this route
- above Salt LakeSalt Lake under 49 points (93%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,357. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Vancouver	62
2	LAFC	56
3	Salt Lake	54
4	Houston	53
5	Dallas	53
6	Minnesota	52
7	St. Louis	50
8	San Jose	48
9	Seattle	47
-	San Diego	47
-	Colorado	46

Play the Wild Card game away6%

San Jose 44+ points

Wild Card

8ColoradoHome9San Jose

61% of this route
- below Salt LakeSalt Lake under 60 points (94%)
- below St. LouisSt. Louis under 57 points (92%)
25% of this route
- below Salt LakeSalt Lake under 59 points (92%)
- above St. LouisSt. Louis out of the postseason (>99%) · St. Louis under 47 points (90%)
14% of this route
- above Salt LakeSalt Lake out of the postseason (>99%) · Salt Lake under 48 points (94%)
- below St. LouisSt. Louis under 56 points (94%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 742. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Vancouver	69
2	Dallas	55
3	LAFC	54
4	Houston	54
5	Salt Lake	53
6	San Diego	53
7	St. Louis	52
8	Colorado	48
9	San Jose	47
-	Seattle	45
-	Minnesota	45

Miss the postseason9%

San Jose under 48 points

63% of this route
- below San DiegoSan Diego under 55 points (93%)
- below MinnesotaMinnesota under 54 points (91%)
20% of this route
- below San DiegoSan Diego under 55 points (93%)
- above MinnesotaMinnesota 1+ point back (>99%)
17% of this route
- above San DiegoSan Diego 1+ point back (>99%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,112. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Vancouver	66
2	Houston	58
3	St. Louis	55
4	Seattle	54
5	LAFC	52
6	Dallas	50
7	Portland	49
8	Salt Lake	49
9	San Diego	49
-	Minnesota	48
-	San Jose	44