Magic Number - Los Angeles Galaxy 2026

Playoffs53%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

6

Win the next 6 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Could clinch a playoff place as soon as Sun 25 Oct.

Next upSunday · Away7:00 PM EDTLA Galaxy53%PlayoffsSt. Louis>99%PlayoffsMatch resultSTL 53%Draw 24%LA 23%Win → 77% · Draw → 56% · Loss → 44%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Home26 SepColorado2LA Galaxy±0335% → 35%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference<1%

Supporters' ShieldOut

MLS Cup<1%

9th in the table · 18th by playoff odds.

Western Conference finish

1st9th · playoff line15th

Most likely 9th. The top 9 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Sunday · Away7:00 PM EDTLA Galaxy53%PlayoffsSt. Louis>99%PlayoffsMatch resultSTL 53%Draw 24%LA 23%Win → 77% · Draw → 56% · Loss → 44%Playoffs

Upcoming

Wednesday · Home10:30 PM EDTPortland24%PlayoffsMatch resultLA 47%Draw 26%POR 27%53% → 31% – 73%Playoffs Sat 17 Oct · Home10:30 PM EDTSan Diego28%PlayoffsMatch resultLA 43%Draw 26%SD 31%53% → 33% – 74%Playoffs Sun 25 Oct · Away9:00 PM EDTLAFC98%PlayoffsMatch resultLAFC 51%Draw 25%LA 24%53% → 48% – 80%Playoffs

Full schedule6 to play

Sunday · Away7:00 PM EDTSt. Louis>99%PlayoffsMatch resultSTL 53%Draw 24%LA 23%53% → 44% – 77%Playoffs Wednesday · Home10:30 PM EDTPortland24%PlayoffsMatch resultLA 47%Draw 26%POR 27%53% → 31% – 73%Playoffs Sat 17 Oct · Home10:30 PM EDTSan Diego28%PlayoffsMatch resultLA 43%Draw 26%SD 31%53% → 33% – 74%Playoffs Sun 25 Oct · Away9:00 PM EDTLAFC98%PlayoffsMatch resultLAFC 51%Draw 25%LA 24%53% → 48% – 80%Playoffs Sat 31 Oct · Home5:00 PM EDTAustin15%PlayoffsMatch resultLA 46%Draw 26%ATX 28%53% → 37% – 77%Playoffs Sat 7 Nov · Away7:00 PM ESTSalt Lake19%PlayoffsMatch resultRSL 40%Draw 27%LA 33%53% → 43% – 75%Playoffs

History

Final · Home26 SepColorado2LA Galaxy±0335% → 35%Playoffs Final · Away19 SepMinnesota2LA Galaxy▲ +25313% → 38%Playoffs Final · Home12 SepSeattle1LA Galaxy▼ -2116% → 14%Playoffs

All results28 played

Final · Home26 SepColorado2LA Galaxy±0335% → 35%Playoffs Final · Away19 SepMinnesota2LA Galaxy▲ +25313% → 38%Playoffs Final · Home12 SepSeattle1LA Galaxy▼ -2116% → 14%Playoffs Final · Away9 SepVancouver3LA Galaxy±0020% → 20%Playoffs Final · Home5 SepNew England1LA Galaxy±0210% → 10%Playoffs Final · Away29 AugSan Diego3LA Galaxy±0114% → 14%Playoffs Final · Away22 AugMontreal2LA Galaxy▲ +529% → 14%Playoffs Final · Home19 AugSan Jose0LA Galaxy±019% → 9%Playoffs Final · Away15 AugHouston1LA Galaxy±0014% → 14%Playoffs Final · Home1 AugDallas0LA Galaxy±0018% → 18%Playoffs Final · Away25 JulSan Jose1LA Galaxy▼ -9124% → 15%Playoffs Final · Home22 JulSt. Louis3LA Galaxy▼ -2132% → 30%Playoffs Final · Home17 JulLAFC3LA Galaxy0 Final · Home23 MayHouston1LA Galaxy1 Final · Away16 MaySeattle0LA Galaxy2 Final · Away13 MaySporting KC3LA Galaxy1 Final · Away9 MayAtlanta1LA Galaxy2 Final · Home2 MayVancouver1LA Galaxy1 Final · Home26 AprSalt Lake1LA Galaxy2 Final · Away22 AprColumbus2LA Galaxy1 Final · Away18 AprDallas2LA Galaxy2 Final · Away11 AprAustin1LA Galaxy2 Final · Home4 AprMinnesota2LA Galaxy1 Final · Away22 MarPortland1LA Galaxy1 Final · Home14 MarSporting KC2LA Galaxy1 Final · Away7 MarColorado4LA Galaxy1 Final · Home28 FebCharlotte0LA Galaxy3 Final · Home22 FebNY City1LA Galaxy1

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Reach Round One directly, at home<1%

A possible long-shot route: 23 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

LA Galaxy 51+ points

Reach Round One directly, on the road15%

LA Galaxy 46+ points

Round One

2St. LouisHome7LA Galaxy

Alongside it: 1 Vancouver v Wild Card winner · 3 Dallas v 6 Houston · 4 LAFC v 5 San Jose

80% of this route
- above SeattleSeattle 1+ point back (96%)
20% of this route
- below SeattleSeattle under 55 points (95%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,367. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Vancouver	62
2	St. Louis	59
3	Dallas	59
4	LAFC	50
5	San Jose	49
6	Houston	48
7	LA Galaxy	48
8	Austin	48
9	San Diego	45
-	Seattle	45
-	Colorado	44

Host the Wild Card game18%

LA Galaxy 44+ points

Wild Card

8LA GalaxyHome9Salt Lake

79% of this route
- above ColoradoColorado 1+ point back (>99%)
21% of this route
- below ColoradoColorado under 52 points (92%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,789. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Vancouver	64
2	San Jose	57
3	Houston	56
4	St. Louis	56
5	Dallas	56
6	LAFC	49
7	Seattle	46
8	LA Galaxy	46
9	Salt Lake	45
-	Colorado	42
-	Portland	42
-	San Diego	41

Play the Wild Card game away20%

LA Galaxy 43+ points

Wild Card

8ColoradoHome9LA Galaxy

85% of this route
- above San DiegoSan Diego out of the postseason (>99%) · San Diego 1+ point back (>99%)
15% of this route
- below San DiegoSan Diego under 49 points (91%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 3,422. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	St. Louis	66
2	Vancouver	61
3	LAFC	59
4	San Jose	55
5	Dallas	54
6	Houston	53
7	Seattle	50
8	Colorado	45
9	LA Galaxy	45
-	Austin	40
-	San Diego	40

Miss the postseason47%

LA Galaxy under 45 points

66% of this route
- below San DiegoSan Diego under 49 points (96%)
34% of this route
- above San DiegoSan Diego 1+ point back (>99%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 6,225. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Vancouver	59
2	Dallas	57
3	St. Louis	55
4	San Jose	54
5	LAFC	53
6	Seattle	50
7	Houston	49
8	Colorado	45
9	Salt Lake	44
-	San Diego	44
-	Portland	42
-	LA Galaxy	41