Magic Number - Colorado Rapids 2026

Playoffs37%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

14

Win the next 14 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Elimination number

The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.

15

Lose the next 15 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Happening nowIn progressHomeStarted 9:30 PM EDTColoradoLAFC

Last resultFinal · Home15 AugSporting KC0Colorado±0227% → 27%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference<1%

Supporters' Shield<1%

MLS Cup<1%

8th in the table · 21th by playoff odds.

Western Conference finish

1st9th · playoff line15th

Most likely 12th. The top 9 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The game in progress, what follows it, and what already happened.

Happening now

In progressHomeStarted 9:30 PM EDTColoradoLAFC

Upcoming

Saturday · Away10:30 PM EDTSan Diego56%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 54%Draw 24%COL 22%37% → 27% – 51%Playoffs Sat 29 Aug · Home9:30 PM EDTSalt Lake85%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 39%Draw 27%RSL 34%37% → 24% – 48%Playoffs Sat 5 Sep · Away7:30 PM EDTColumbus26%PlayoffsMatch resultCLB 48%Draw 25%COL 27%37% → 27% – 48%Playoffs

Full schedule15 to play

In progressHomeStarted 9:30 PM EDTLAFC Saturday · Away10:30 PM EDTSan Diego56%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 54%Draw 24%COL 22%37% → 27% – 51%Playoffs Sat 29 Aug · Home9:30 PM EDTSalt Lake85%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 39%Draw 27%RSL 34%37% → 24% – 48%Playoffs Sat 5 Sep · Away7:30 PM EDTColumbus26%PlayoffsMatch resultCLB 48%Draw 25%COL 27%37% → 27% – 48%Playoffs Wed 9 Sep · Away8:30 PM EDTAustin1%PlayoffsMatch resultATX 41%Draw 27%COL 32%37% → 27% – 48%Playoffs Sat 12 Sep · Home9:30 PM EDTMontreal8%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 50%Draw 25%MTL 25%37% → 24% – 45%Playoffs Sat 19 Sep · Home9:30 PM EDTSeattle64%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 38%Draw 27%SEA 35%37% → 27% – 50%Playoffs Sat 26 Sep · Away10:30 PM EDTLA Galaxy9%PlayoffsMatch resultLA 44%Draw 26%COL 30%37% → 28% – 50%Playoffs Sat 10 Oct · Home9:30 PM EDTSan Jose91%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 42%Draw 26%SJ 32%37% → 25% – 46%Playoffs Wed 14 Oct · Home9:30 PM EDTMinnesota43%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 39%Draw 27%MIN 34%37% → 23% – 46%Playoffs Sat 17 Oct · Away10:30 PM EDTPortland49%PlayoffsMatch resultPOR 49%Draw 25%COL 26%37% → 26% – 48%Playoffs Sat 24 Oct · Home8:30 PM EDTVancouver>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 28%Draw 26%VAN 46%37% → 26% – 46%Playoffs Wed 28 Oct · Away10:30 PM EDTSan Jose91%PlayoffsMatch resultSJ 49%Draw 25%COL 26%37% → 27% – 48%Playoffs Sat 31 Oct · Home9:30 PM EDTChicago>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 36%Draw 27%CHI 37%37% → 26% – 47%Playoffs Sat 7 Nov · Away7:00 PM ESTDallas93%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 54%Draw 24%COL 22%37% → 32% – 54%Playoffs

History

Final · Home15 AugSporting KC0Colorado±0227% → 27%Playoffs Final · Home1 AugAustin0Colorado±0117% → 17%Playoffs Final · Away25 JulSt. Louis1Colorado▲ +11014% → 25%Playoffs

All results19 played

Final · Home15 AugSporting KC0Colorado±0227% → 27%Playoffs Final · Home1 AugAustin0Colorado±0117% → 17%Playoffs Final · Away25 JulSt. Louis1Colorado▲ +11014% → 25%Playoffs Final · Home22 JulSan Diego0Colorado±0114% → 14%Playoffs Final · Home23 MayDallas2Colorado1 Final · Away16 MaySalt Lake2Colorado1 Final · Away13 MayMinnesota0Colorado1 Final · Home9 MaySt. Louis1Colorado0 Final · Away2 MayHouston1Colorado0 Final · Away25 AprVancouver3Colorado1 Final · Away22 AprLAFC0Colorado0 Final · Home18 AprMiami3Colorado2 Final · Home11 AprHouston2Colorado6 Final · Away4 AprToronto3Colorado2 Final · Away21 MarSporting KC1Colorado4 Final · Away14 MarNY City3Colorado1 Final · Home7 MarLA Galaxy1Colorado4 Final · Home28 FebPortland0Colorado2 Final · Away22 FebSeattle2Colorado0

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Reach Round One directly, at home3%

Colorado 52+ points

Round One

3ColoradoHome6LAFC

Alongside it: 1 Houston v Wild Card winner · 2 Vancouver v 7 Salt Lake · 4 Seattle v 5 Dallas

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 633. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Houston	69
2	Vancouver	64
3	Colorado	54
4	Seattle	54
5	Dallas	52
6	LAFC	51
7	Salt Lake	49
8	San Jose	49
9	St. Louis	47
-	Portland	46
-	Minnesota	40

Reach Round One directly, on the road14%

Colorado 47+ points

Round One

2HoustonHome7Colorado

Alongside it: 1 Vancouver v Wild Card winner · 3 Dallas v 6 San Jose · 4 St. Louis v 5 LAFC

70% of this route
- above San DiegoSan Diego 1+ point back (92%)
- above SeattleSeattle 1+ point back (91%)
17% of this route
- above San DiegoSan Diego 1+ point back (92%)
- below SeattleSeattle under 59 points (94%)
13% of this route
- below San DiegoSan Diego under 58 points (94%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,022. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Vancouver	71
2	Houston	66
3	Dallas	54
4	St. Louis	54
5	LAFC	53
6	San Jose	53
7	Colorado	50
8	Seattle	45
9	Minnesota	45
-	San Diego	44
-	Salt Lake	42

Host the Wild Card game9%

Colorado 45+ points

Wild Card

8ColoradoHome9Minnesota

58% of this route
- above MinnesotaMinnesota 1+ point back (90%)
- above PortlandPortland 1+ point back (92%)
21% of this route
- below MinnesotaMinnesota under 55 points (92%)
- above PortlandPortland under 50 points (92%)
20% of this route
- above MinnesotaMinnesota under 48 points (96%)
- below PortlandPortland under 56 points (93%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,027. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Vancouver	65
2	LAFC	57
3	Houston	57
4	Salt Lake	57
5	Dallas	53
6	San Jose	51
7	Seattle	50
8	Colorado	47
9	Minnesota	43
-	LA Galaxy	43
-	Portland	42

Play the Wild Card game away11%

Colorado 43+ points

Wild Card

8St. LouisHome9Colorado

69% of this route
- above MinnesotaMinnesota out of the postseason (>99%) · Minnesota under 46 points (91%)
31% of this route
- below MinnesotaMinnesota under 55 points (93%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,505. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Vancouver	60
2	LAFC	57
3	San Diego	54
4	Dallas	53
5	San Jose	52
6	Houston	51
7	Salt Lake	50
8	St. Louis	48
9	Colorado	46
-	Minnesota	42
-	Portland	42
-	LA Galaxy	39

Miss the postseason63%

Colorado under 47 points

69% of this route
- below MinnesotaMinnesota under 53 points (92%)
- below PortlandPortland under 53 points (91%)
18% of this route
- above MinnesotaMinnesota 1+ point back (>99%)
14% of this route
- below MinnesotaMinnesota under 54 points (93%)
- above PortlandPortland 1+ point back (>99%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 8,643. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Vancouver	69
2	Dallas	59
3	San Jose	58
4	Houston	57
5	St. Louis	57
6	LAFC	50
7	Portland	47
8	Salt Lake	47
9	Seattle	46
-	Minnesota	46
-	San Diego	45
-	Colorado	40