Magic Number.
MLS · 2026
12th by playoff odds30 clubs

Salt Lake

7th · 8-4-6 · 28 pts
Playoffs85%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
14

Win the next 14 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Happening nowIn progressHomeStarted 9:30 PM EDTSalt LakeDallas
Last resultFinal · Home15 AugMinnesota1Salt Lake±0187% → 87%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference1%
Supporters' Shield<1%
MLS Cup1%

7th in the table · 12th by playoff odds.

Western Conference finish
1st9th · playoff line15th

Most likely 5th. The top 9 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The game in progress, what follows it, and what already happened.

Happening now

In progressHomeStarted 9:30 PM EDTSalt LakeDallas

Upcoming

Saturday · Away7:30 PM EDTOrlando60%PlayoffsMatch resultORL 44%Draw 26%RSL 30%85% → 83% – 95%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Away9:30 PM EDTColorado37%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 39%Draw 27%RSL 34%85% → 81% – 95%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Home9:30 PM EDTLAFC99%PlayoffsMatch resultRSL 37%Draw 27%LAFC 36%85% → 82% – 94%Playoffs
Full schedule16 to play
In progressHomeStarted 9:30 PM EDTDallasSaturday · Away7:30 PM EDTOrlando60%PlayoffsMatch resultORL 44%Draw 26%RSL 30%85% → 83% – 95%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Away9:30 PM EDTColorado37%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 39%Draw 27%RSL 34%85% → 81% – 95%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Home9:30 PM EDTLAFC99%PlayoffsMatch resultRSL 37%Draw 27%LAFC 36%85% → 82% – 94%PlayoffsWed 9 Sep · Away8:30 PM EDTHouston99%PlayoffsMatch resultHOU 49%Draw 25%RSL 26%85% → 82% – 94%PlayoffsSat 12 Sep · Home9:30 PM EDTNY City82%PlayoffsMatch resultRSL 45%Draw 26%NYC 29%85% → 77% – 90%PlayoffsSat 19 Sep · Home9:30 PM EDTVancouver>99%PlayoffsMatch resultRSL 33%Draw 27%VAN 40%85% → 78% – 91%PlayoffsWed 23 Sep · Away9:30 PM EDTSeattle64%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 45%Draw 26%RSL 29%85% → 78% – 92%PlayoffsSat 26 Sep · Home9:30 PM EDTNew England96%PlayoffsMatch resultRSL 49%Draw 25%NE 26%85% → 76% – 89%PlayoffsSat 10 Oct · Away7:30 PM EDTPhiladelphia36%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 45%Draw 26%RSL 29%85% → 78% – 91%PlayoffsWed 14 Oct · Home9:30 PM EDTSan Jose91%PlayoffsMatch resultRSL 47%Draw 26%SJ 27%85% → 77% – 90%PlayoffsSat 17 Oct · Away8:30 PM EDTSporting KC<1%PlayoffsMatch resultSKC 28%Draw 26%RSL 46%85% → 77% – 89%PlayoffsSat 24 Oct · Home8:30 PM EDTSt. Louis74%PlayoffsMatch resultRSL 46%Draw 26%STL 28%85% → 74% – 88%PlayoffsWed 28 Oct · Away8:30 PM EDTAustin1%PlayoffsMatch resultATX 36%Draw 27%RSL 37%85% → 78% – 89%PlayoffsSat 31 Oct · Away5:00 PM EDTSan Jose91%PlayoffsMatch resultSJ 43%Draw 26%RSL 31%85% → 77% – 90%PlayoffsSat 7 Nov · Home7:00 PM ESTLA Galaxy9%PlayoffsMatch resultRSL 51%Draw 25%LA 24%85% → 73% – 85%Playoffs

History

Final · Home15 AugMinnesota1Salt Lake±0187% → 87%PlayoffsFinal · Away1 AugSt. Louis1Salt Lake±0187% → 87%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 JulPortland2Salt Lake▼ -4195% → 91%Playoffs
All results18 played
Final · Home15 AugMinnesota1Salt Lake±0187% → 87%PlayoffsFinal · Away1 AugSt. Louis1Salt Lake±0187% → 87%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 JulPortland2Salt Lake▼ -4195% → 91%PlayoffsFinal · Away22 JulLAFC3Salt Lake▲ +1195% → 96%PlayoffsFinal · Away23 MayMinnesota1Salt Lake1Final · Home16 MayColorado1Salt Lake2Final · Home13 MayHouston0Salt Lake3Final · Away9 MayDallas3Salt Lake1Final · Home2 MayPortland0Salt Lake2Final · Away26 AprLA Galaxy2Salt Lake1Final · Home22 AprMiami2Salt Lake0Final · Home18 AprSan Diego2Salt Lake4Final · Home4 AprSporting KC1Salt Lake3Final · Away22 MarSan Diego2Salt Lake2Final · Home14 MarAustin1Salt Lake2Final · Away7 MarAtlanta2Salt Lake3Final · Home28 FebSeattle1Salt Lake2Final · Away21 FebVancouver1Salt Lake0

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-02-232026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Reach Round One directly, at home27%

Salt Lake 52+ points

Round One
3Salt LakeHome6Dallas

Alongside it: 1 Houston v Wild Card winner · 2 Vancouver v 7 Seattle · 4 LAFC v 5 San Jose

  1. 85% of this route

  2. 15% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 4,529. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Houston63
2Vancouver63
3Salt Lake57
4LAFC54
5San Jose51
6Dallas51
7Seattle49
8Minnesota47
9Portland46
-St. Louis44
-San Diego40
Reach Round One directly, on the road39%

Salt Lake 48+ points

Round One
3St. LouisHome6Salt Lake

Alongside it: 1 Vancouver v Wild Card winner · 2 LAFC v 7 Portland · 4 San Jose v 5 Houston

  1. 67% of this route

  2. 19% of this route

  3. 15% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 5,215. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Vancouver67
2LAFC54
3St. Louis54
4San Jose53
5Houston52
6Salt Lake51
7Portland48
8Dallas48
9Minnesota47
-Seattle45
-San Diego45
Host the Wild Card game11%

Salt Lake 46+ points

Wild Card
8Salt LakeHome9St. Louis

  1. 88% of this route

  2. 12% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,897. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Vancouver63
2Houston59
3LAFC57
4Dallas55
5San Jose53
6Minnesota53
7Seattle48
8Salt Lake48
9St. Louis48
-Portland43
-Colorado41
Play the Wild Card game away9%

Salt Lake 44+ points

Wild Card
8San DiegoHome9Salt Lake

  1. 47% of this route

  2. 28% of this route

  3. 25% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 804. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Vancouver76
2LAFC61
3San Jose58
4Dallas57
5Houston53
6St. Louis52
7Seattle51
8San Diego46
9Salt Lake46
-Portland44
-Colorado41
Miss the postseason15%