Magic Number - Los Angeles FC 2026

Playoffs98%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

5

Win the next 5 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Could clinch a playoff place as soon as Sat 17 Oct.

Next upSaturday · Home10:30 PM EDTLAFC98%PlayoffsVancouver>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLAFC 40%Draw 27%VAN 33%Win → >99% · Draw → 99% · Loss → 98%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Away26 SepDallas1LAFC▼ -1099% → 98%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference<1%

Supporters' ShieldOut

MLS Cup3%

6th in the table · 12th by playoff odds.

Western Conference finish

1st9th · playoff line15th

Most likely 6th. The top 9 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Home10:30 PM EDTLAFC98%PlayoffsVancouver>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLAFC 40%Draw 27%VAN 33%Win → >99% · Draw → 99% · Loss → 98%Playoffs

Upcoming

Wednesday · Home10:30 PM EDTAustin15%PlayoffsMatch resultLAFC 53%Draw 24%ATX 23%98% → 97% – >99%Playoffs Sat 17 Oct · Away7:30 PM EDTNY City55%PlayoffsMatch resultNYC 39%Draw 27%LAFC 34%98% → 97% – >99%Playoffs Sun 25 Oct · Home9:00 PM EDTLA Galaxy53%PlayoffsMatch resultLAFC 51%Draw 25%LA 24%98% → 93% – >99%Playoffs

Full schedule6 to play

Saturday · Home10:30 PM EDTVancouver>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLAFC 40%Draw 27%VAN 33%98% → 98% – >99%Playoffs Wednesday · Home10:30 PM EDTAustin15%PlayoffsMatch resultLAFC 53%Draw 24%ATX 23%98% → 97% – >99%Playoffs Sat 17 Oct · Away7:30 PM EDTNY City55%PlayoffsMatch resultNYC 39%Draw 27%LAFC 34%98% → 97% – >99%Playoffs Sun 25 Oct · Home9:00 PM EDTLA Galaxy53%PlayoffsMatch resultLAFC 51%Draw 25%LA 24%98% → 93% – >99%Playoffs Sun 1 Nov · Home8:30 PM ESTMinnesota6%PlayoffsMatch resultLAFC 54%Draw 24%MIN 22%98% → 93% – >99%Playoffs Sat 7 Nov · Away7:00 PM ESTSeattle89%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 43%Draw 26%LAFC 31%98% → 95% – 100%Playoffs

History

Final · Away26 SepDallas1LAFC▼ -1099% → 98%Playoffs Final · Away19 SepSan Jose2LAFC▲ +1298% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away12 SepSporting KC3LAFC±0199% → 99%Playoffs

All results28 played

Final · Away26 SepDallas1LAFC▼ -1099% → 98%Playoffs Final · Away19 SepSan Jose2LAFC▲ +1298% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away12 SepSporting KC3LAFC±0199% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home9 SepNY Red Bulls0LAFC±0298% → 98%Playoffs Final · Away5 SepSalt Lake2LAFC±0298% → 98%Playoffs Final · Away29 AugDC0LAFC±0097% → 97%Playoffs Final · Home22 AugPortland1LAFC±0198% → 98%Playoffs Final · Away19 AugColorado1LAFC±0099% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home15 AugSan Diego1LAFC±00>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away1 AugVancouver1LAFC±01>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulSporting KC0LAFC▼ -24>99% → 98%Playoffs Final · Home22 JulSalt Lake1LAFC±0398% → 98%Playoffs Final · Away17 JulLA Galaxy0LAFC3 Final · Home24 MaySeattle0LAFC1 Final · Away17 MayNashville3LAFC2 Final · Away13 MaySt. Louis2LAFC1 Final · Home10 MayHouston4LAFC1 Final · Away2 MaySan Diego2LAFC2 Final · Away25 AprMinnesota0LAFC1 Final · Home22 AprColorado0LAFC0 Final · Home19 AprSan Jose4LAFC1 Final · Away11 AprPortland2LAFC1 Final · Home4 AprOrlando0LAFC6 Final · Away21 MarAustin0LAFC0 Final · Home14 MarSt. Louis0LAFC2 Final · Home7 MarDallas0LAFC1 Final · Away28 FebHouston0LAFC2 Final · Home21 FebMiami0LAFC3

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Reach Round One directly, at home13%

LAFC 52+ points

Round One

3LAFCHome6Houston

Alongside it: 1 Dallas v Wild Card winner · 2 Vancouver v 7 Salt Lake · 4 St. Louis v 5 San Jose

68% of this route
- above San JoseSan Jose under 56 points (92%)
- above HoustonHouston 1+ point back (95%)
18% of this route
- below San JoseSan Jose under 62 points (93%)
13% of this route
- above San JoseSan Jose under 56 points (96%)
- below HoustonHouston under 61 points (92%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,752. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Dallas	63
2	Vancouver	56
3	LAFC	55
4	St. Louis	54
5	San Jose	52
6	Houston	51
7	Salt Lake	50
8	Colorado	48
9	Seattle	47
-	San Diego	42
-	LA Galaxy	41

Reach Round One directly, on the road74%

LAFC 47+ points

Round One

2VancouverHome7LAFC

Alongside it: 1 St. Louis v Wild Card winner · 3 San Jose v 6 Houston · 4 Dallas v 5 Seattle

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 14,866. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	St. Louis	62
2	Vancouver	60
3	San Jose	57
4	Dallas	54
5	Seattle	52
6	Houston	50
7	LAFC	50
8	LA Galaxy	45
9	Colorado	41
-	Minnesota	39
-	Portland	39

Host the Wild Card game8%

LAFC 45+ points

Wild Card

8LAFCHome9Minnesota

48% of this route
- below SeattleSeattle under 55 points (96%)
- above ColoradoColorado 1+ point back (>99%)
38% of this route
- below SeattleSeattle under 54 points (90%)
- below ColoradoColorado under 53 points (96%)
15% of this route
- above SeattleSeattle under 48 points (96%)
- below ColoradoColorado under 52 points (94%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 767. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Dallas	66
2	Vancouver	63
3	Houston	54
4	St. Louis	52
5	San Jose	50
6	Seattle	50
7	Salt Lake	47
8	LAFC	46
9	Minnesota	45
-	Colorado	43
-	Portland	43

Play the Wild Card game away3%

LAFC 43+ points

Wild Card

8San DiegoHome9LAFC

75% of this route
- below ColoradoColorado under 52 points (92%)
25% of this route
- above ColoradoColorado out of the postseason (>99%) · Colorado 1+ point back (>99%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 478. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Vancouver	64
2	Houston	57
3	Dallas	57
4	St. Louis	56
5	San Jose	54
6	Seattle	49
7	Colorado	48
8	San Diego	48
9	LAFC	45
-	Austin	43
-	LA Galaxy	42

Miss the postseason2%

LAFC under 46 points

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 330. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	San Jose	61
2	Houston	60
3	Dallas	57
4	Vancouver	56
5	St. Louis	55
6	Seattle	51
7	San Diego	47
8	Colorado	46
9	LA Galaxy	46
-	LAFC	44
-	Salt Lake	41