MLS · 2026
St. Louis City 3-1Final Sat 19 Sep, 8:30 PM EDT Toronto FC
What was at stake
Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.
What happenedSt. Louis winPlayoffsSt. Louis City>99%>99%±0Toronto FC21%19%▼ -2ConferenceSt. Louis City4%6%▲ +2
If it had been a drawPlayoffsSt. Louis City>99%>99%±0Toronto FC21%25%▲ +4ConferenceSt. Louis City4%2%▼ -2
If Toronto had wonPlayoffsSt. Louis City>99%99%▼ -1Toronto FC21%43%▲ +22ConferenceSt. Louis City4%2%▼ -2
What it changed
Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.
St. Louis City
Playoffs>99%>99%±0
Conference4%5%▲ +1
Toronto FC
Playoffs21%12%▼ -9
Conference<1%Out±0