MLS · 2026

Nashville SC 2-0Final Sat 26 Sep, 8:30 PM EDT Toronto FC

What was at stake

Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.

What happenedNashville winPlayoffsNashville SCClinchedToronto FC12%6%▼ -6Supporters' ShieldNashville SC92%93%▲ +1Toronto FCOutConferenceNashville SC99%>99%▲ +1Toronto FCOut
If it had been a drawPlayoffsNashville SCClinchedToronto FC12%8%▼ -4Supporters' ShieldNashville SC92%85%▼ -7Toronto FCOutConferenceNashville SC99%98%▼ -1Toronto FCOut
If Toronto had wonPlayoffsNashville SCClinchedToronto FC12%23%▲ +11Supporters' ShieldNashville SC92%83%▼ -9Toronto FCOutConferenceNashville SC99%97%▼ -2Toronto FCOut

What it changed

Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.

Nashville SC
Playoffs>99%Clinched±0
Supporters' Shield92%95%▲ +3
Conference99%>99%▲ +1
Toronto FC
Playoffs12%10%▼ -2
Supporters' Shield<1%Out±0
Conference<1%Out±0

Today: PlayoffsNashville 1st, clinched; Toronto 13th at 11%.