Magic Number - Nashville SC 2026

PlayoffsClinched

Next upSaturday · Away8:30 PM EDTNashvilleClinchedPlayoffsAustin15%PlayoffsMatch resultATX 28%Draw 26%NSH 46%Win → >99% · Draw → 99% · Loss → 98%Supporters' Shield

Last resultFinal · Home26 SepToronto0Nashville±02Clinched → ClinchedPlayoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference>99%

Supporters' Shield99%

MLS Cup28%

1st in the table · 1st by playoff odds.

Eastern Conference finish

1st9th · playoff line15th

Most likely 1st. The top 9 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Away8:30 PM EDTNashvilleClinchedPlayoffsAustin15%PlayoffsMatch resultATX 28%Draw 26%NSH 46%Win → >99% · Draw → 99% · Loss → 98%Supporters' Shield

Upcoming

Wednesday · Home8:30 PM EDTSporting KC<1%PlayoffsMatch resultNSH 75%Draw 15%SKC 10%99% → 97% – >99%Supporters' Shield Sat 17 Oct · Away10:30 PM EDTSan Jose>99%PlayoffsMatch resultSJ 31%Draw 26%NSH 43%99% → 98% – >99%Supporters' Shield Sat 24 Oct · Away1:30 PM EDTMontreal<1%PlayoffsMatch resultMTL 21%Draw 23%NSH 56%99% → 97% – >99%Supporters' Shield

Full schedule7 to play

Saturday · Away8:30 PM EDTAustin15%PlayoffsMatch resultATX 28%Draw 26%NSH 46%99% → 98% – 100%Supporters' Shield Wednesday · Home8:30 PM EDTSporting KC<1%PlayoffsMatch resultNSH 75%Draw 15%SKC 10%99% → 97% – >99%Supporters' Shield Sat 17 Oct · Away10:30 PM EDTSan Jose>99%PlayoffsMatch resultSJ 31%Draw 26%NSH 43%99% → 98% – >99%Supporters' Shield Sat 24 Oct · Away1:30 PM EDTMontreal<1%PlayoffsMatch resultMTL 21%Draw 23%NSH 56%99% → 97% – >99%Supporters' Shield Wed 28 Oct · Home8:30 PM EDTPhiladelphia99%PlayoffsMatch resultNSH 51%Draw 25%PHI 24%99% → 98% – >99%Supporters' Shield Sun 1 Nov · Home4:30 PM ESTNY Red Bulls49%PlayoffsMatch resultNSH 65%Draw 20%RBNY 15%99% → 97% – >99%Supporters' Shield Sat 7 Nov · Away4:00 PM ESTCincinnati81%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 35%Draw 27%NSH 38%99% → 98% – >99%Supporters' Shield

History

Final · Home26 SepToronto0Nashville±02Clinched → ClinchedPlayoffs Final · Home19 SepChicago0Nashville±03>99% → ClinchedPlayoffs Final · Away12 SepMiami2Nashville±02>99% → >99%Playoffs

All results27 played

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Reach Round One directly, at home>99%

Nashville 68+ points

Round One

1NashvilleHomeWild Card winner8 Orlando or 9 NY City

Alongside it: 2 Chicago v 7 Philadelphia · 3 Miami v 6 Cincinnati · 4 New England v 5 Charlotte

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 20,000. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Nashville	73
2	Chicago	61
3	Miami	61
4	New England	52
5	Charlotte	52
6	Cincinnati	51
7	Philadelphia	50
8	Orlando	49
9	NY City	42
-	NY Red Bulls	41
-	Columbus	36

Reach Round One directly, on the roadNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Host the Wild Card gameNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Play the Wild Card game awayNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Miss the postseasonNo path

No path remains: the postseason place is clinched.