Magic Number.
MLS · 2026
8th by playoff odds30 clubs

New England

3rd · 10-3-7 · 33 pts
Playoffs96%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
11

Win the next 11 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Next upSunday · Home4:30 PM EDTNew England96%PlayoffsNY City82%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 40%Draw 27%NYC 33%Win → 99% · Draw → 97% · Loss → 96%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Away19 AugDC0New England▲ +11385% → 96%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference<1%
Supporters' Shield<1%
MLS Cup1%

3rd in the table · 8th by playoff odds.

Eastern Conference finish
1st9th · playoff line15th

Most likely 5th. The top 9 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Sunday · Home4:30 PM EDTNew England96%PlayoffsNY City82%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 40%Draw 27%NYC 33%Win → 99% · Draw → 97% · Loss → 96%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sat 29 Aug · Away7:30 PM EDTColumbus26%PlayoffsMatch resultCLB 46%Draw 26%NE 28%96% → 95% – 99%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Away9:30 PM EDTLA Galaxy9%PlayoffsMatch resultLA 43%Draw 26%NE 31%96% → 95% – 99%PlayoffsWed 9 Sep · Away7:30 PM EDTNY City82%PlayoffsMatch resultNYC 50%Draw 25%NE 25%96% → 95% – 99%Playoffs
Full schedule14 to play
Sunday · Home4:30 PM EDTNY City82%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 40%Draw 27%NYC 33%96% → 96% – 99%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Away7:30 PM EDTColumbus26%PlayoffsMatch resultCLB 46%Draw 26%NE 28%96% → 95% – 99%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Away9:30 PM EDTLA Galaxy9%PlayoffsMatch resultLA 43%Draw 26%NE 31%96% → 95% – 99%PlayoffsWed 9 Sep · Away7:30 PM EDTNY City82%PlayoffsMatch resultNYC 50%Draw 25%NE 25%96% → 95% – 99%PlayoffsSun 13 Sep · Away5:30 PM EDTChicago>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 53%Draw 24%NE 23%96% → 95% – 99%PlayoffsSat 19 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTOrlando60%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 42%Draw 26%ORL 32%96% → 93% – 99%PlayoffsSat 26 Sep · Away9:30 PM EDTSalt Lake85%PlayoffsMatch resultRSL 49%Draw 25%NE 26%96% → 95% – 99%PlayoffsSat 10 Oct · Home7:30 PM EDTSeattle64%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 40%Draw 27%SEA 33%96% → 93% – 99%PlayoffsWed 14 Oct · Away7:30 PM EDTCincinnati99%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 57%Draw 23%NE 20%96% → 95% – 99%PlayoffsSat 17 Oct · Home7:30 PM EDTChicago>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 37%Draw 27%CHI 36%96% → 93% – 98%PlayoffsSat 24 Oct · Away7:30 PM EDTPhiladelphia36%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 49%Draw 25%NE 26%96% → 93% – 99%PlayoffsWed 28 Oct · Home7:30 PM EDTNY Red Bulls52%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 47%Draw 26%RBNY 27%96% → 92% – 98%PlayoffsSun 1 Nov · Home7:00 PM ESTMiami>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 26%Draw 25%MIA 49%96% → 94% – 99%PlayoffsSat 7 Nov · Away4:00 PM ESTOrlando60%PlayoffsMatch resultORL 49%Draw 25%NE 26%96% → 92% – 99%Playoffs

History

Final · Away19 AugDC0New England▲ +11385% → 96%PlayoffsFinal · Away15 AugToronto2New England±0190% → 90%PlayoffsFinal · Home8 AugHouston2New England±0095% → 95%Playoffs
All results20 played
Final · Away19 AugDC0New England▲ +11385% → 96%PlayoffsFinal · Away15 AugToronto2New England±0190% → 90%PlayoffsFinal · Home8 AugHouston2New England±0095% → 95%PlayoffsFinal · Away1 AugMontreal2New England±0296% → 96%PlayoffsFinal · Home25 JulAtlanta1New England▼ -2495% → 93%PlayoffsFinal · Home22 JulToronto0New England±0095% → 95%PlayoffsFinal · Away23 MayCharlotte1New England0Final · Home16 MayMinnesota1New England2Final · Home13 MayNashville3New England0Final · Home9 MayPhiladelphia1New England2Final · Home2 MayCharlotte0New England1Final · Away25 AprMiami1New England1Final · Away22 AprAtlanta1New England2Final · Home18 AprColumbus1New England2Final · Home11 AprDC0New England1Final · Home4 AprMontreal0New England3Final · Away21 MarSt. Louis3New England1Final · Home15 MarCincinnati1New England6Final · Away28 FebNY Red Bulls1New England0Final · Away21 FebNashville4New England1

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-02-232026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Reach Round One directly, at home30%

New England 50+ points

Round One
4New EnglandHome5Cincinnati

Alongside it: 1 Miami v Wild Card winner · 2 Nashville v 7 Philadelphia · 3 Chicago v 6 Charlotte

  1. 86% of this route

  2. 14% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 5,185. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Miami72
2Nashville70
3Chicago60
4New England55
5Cincinnati50
6Charlotte49
7Philadelphia47
8NY City46
9NY Red Bulls42
-Orlando42
-Toronto42
Reach Round One directly, on the road54%

New England 45+ points

Round One
3ChicagoHome6New England

Alongside it: 1 Nashville v Wild Card winner · 2 Miami v 7 NY City · 4 Charlotte v 5 Cincinnati

  1. 81% of this route

  2. 19% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 8,748. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Nashville68
2Miami64
3Chicago56
4Charlotte55
5Cincinnati55
6New England49
7NY City45
8Orlando44
9NY Red Bulls43
-Philadelphia41
-Toronto37
Host the Wild Card game8%

New England 42+ points

Wild Card
8New EnglandHome9Orlando

  1. 79% of this route

  2. 21% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,208. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Nashville72
2Miami62
3Cincinnati53
4Charlotte50
5NY City49
6Chicago49
7NY Red Bulls48
8New England45
9Orlando45
-DC42
-Philadelphia40
Play the Wild Card game away4%

New England 41+ points

Wild Card
8CharlotteHome9New England

  1. 67% of this route

  2. 33% of this route

    • above OrlandoOrlando out of the postseason (>99%) · Orlando under 44 points (95%)
How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 591. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Nashville72
2Chicago63
3Miami61
4Cincinnati55
5NY City47
6Orlando47
7Philadelphia46
8Charlotte46
9New England43
-DC43
-NY Red Bulls42
Miss the postseason4%