Magic Number - Columbus Crew 2026

Playoffs26%

Elimination number

The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.

13

Lose the next 13 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upSaturday · Away8:30 PM EDTColumbus26%PlayoffsNashville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNSH 60%Draw 22%CLB 18%Win → 41% · Draw → 28% · Loss → 22%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Home19 AugMontreal2Columbus▼ -15141% → 26%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference<1%

Supporters' Shield<1%

MLS Cup<1%

12th in the table · 24th by playoff odds.

Eastern Conference finish

1st9th · playoff line15th

Most likely 12th. The top 9 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Away8:30 PM EDTColumbus26%PlayoffsNashville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNSH 60%Draw 22%CLB 18%Win → 41% · Draw → 28% · Loss → 22%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sat 29 Aug · Home7:30 PM EDTNew England96%PlayoffsMatch resultCLB 46%Draw 26%NE 28%26% → 18% – 36%Playoffs Sat 5 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTColorado37%PlayoffsMatch resultCLB 48%Draw 25%COL 27%26% → 17% – 35%Playoffs Wed 9 Sep · Away7:30 PM EDTDC27%PlayoffsMatch resultDC 38%Draw 27%CLB 35%26% → 17% – 36%Playoffs

Full schedule14 to play

History

Final · Home19 AugMontreal2Columbus▼ -15141% → 26%Playoffs Final · Away15 AugCharlotte3Columbus±0150% → 50%Playoffs Final · Away1 AugMiami2Columbus▲ +1247% → 48%Playoffs

All results20 played

Final · Home19 AugMontreal2Columbus▼ -15141% → 26%Playoffs Final · Away15 AugCharlotte3Columbus±0150% → 50%Playoffs Final · Away1 AugMiami2Columbus▲ +1247% → 48%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulCincinnati1Columbus▼ -7242% → 35%Playoffs Final · Home22 JulNY City2Columbus▼ -12154% → 42%Playoffs Final · Home24 MayAtlanta0Columbus2 Final · Away16 MayPhiladelphia1Columbus1 Final · Away13 MayNY Red Bulls3Columbus2 Final · Away10 MayNY City3Columbus0 Final · Home2 MayMinnesota3Columbus2 Final · Home25 AprPhiladelphia0Columbus2 Final · Home22 AprLA Galaxy1Columbus2 Final · Away18 AprNew England2Columbus1 Final · Home12 AprOrlando1Columbus1 Final · Away4 AprAtlanta1Columbus3 Final · Away21 MarToronto2Columbus1 Final · Home14 MarNashville1Columbus0 Final · Home7 MarChicago0Columbus0 Final · Away28 FebSporting KC2Columbus2 Final · Away21 FebPortland3Columbus2

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Reach Round One directly, at home<1%

A possible long-shot route: 61 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Columbus 49+ points

Reach Round One directly, on the road8%

Columbus 44+ points

Round One

2MiamiHome7Columbus

Alongside it: 1 Nashville v Wild Card winner · 3 Cincinnati v 6 Chicago · 4 NY City v 5 Charlotte

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,527. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Nashville	72
2	Miami	67
3	Cincinnati	59
4	NY City	51
5	Charlotte	51
6	Chicago	46
7	Columbus	46
8	New England	43
9	Orlando	41
-	NY Red Bulls	41
-	Philadelphia	40

Host the Wild Card game8%

Columbus 41+ points

Wild Card

8ColumbusHome9Philadelphia

82% of this route
- above NY Red BullsNY Red Bulls 1+ point back (92%)
18% of this route
- below NY Red BullsNY Red Bulls under 52 points (94%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,271. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Miami	72
2	Nashville	67
3	Chicago	61
4	New England	50
5	Cincinnati	49
6	Charlotte	48
7	NY City	44
8	Columbus	44
9	Philadelphia	40
-	NY Red Bulls	39
-	Orlando	38
-	DC	38

Play the Wild Card game away10%

Columbus 40+ points

Wild Card

8CharlotteHome9Columbus

66% of this route
- above DCDC out of the postseason (>99%) · DC 1+ point back (92%)
- above PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia out of the postseason (>99%) · Philadelphia 1+ point back (94%)
20% of this route
- above DCDC out of the postseason (>99%) · DC 1+ point back (91%)
- below PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia under 50 points (94%)
13% of this route
- below DCDC under 50 points (94%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,389. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Nashville	75
2	Chicago	67
3	Miami	67
4	Cincinnati	54
5	NY City	50
6	NY Red Bulls	49
7	New England	46
8	Charlotte	45
9	Columbus	42
-	Orlando	42
-	Philadelphia	37
-	DC	37

Miss the postseason74%

Columbus under 43 points

73% of this route
- below DCDC under 47 points (91%)
27% of this route
- above DCDC 1+ point back (>99%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 10,811. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Nashville	71
2	Miami	69
3	New England	52
4	Chicago	51
5	Cincinnati	50
6	NY City	48
7	Philadelphia	45
8	NY Red Bulls	42
9	Charlotte	41
-	DC	41
-	Orlando	40
-	Columbus	35