NFL · 2026
Houston TexansAFC South - .000 pct vSun 13 Sep, 1:00 PM EDT Buffalo BillsAFC East - .000 pct
Match resultHouston 63%Tie <1%Buffalo 37%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 7% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 16 points in the Division race.
Houston Texans
Playoffs76%
Division47%
Conferenceseason odds19%
Super Bowlseason odds11%
Byeseason odds17%
Buffalo Bills
Playoffs63%
Division39%
Conferenceseason odds10%
Super Bowlseason odds5%
Byeseason odds10%
Houston winDivisionHouston Texans47%57%▲ +10Buffalo Bills39%31%▼ -8
TieDivisionHouston Texans47%56%▲ +9Buffalo Bills39%45%▲ +6
Buffalo winDivisionHouston Texans47%42%▼ -5Buffalo Bills39%46%▲ +7
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
0-0-0New EnglandDivision44%0-0-0.000-0-0-0BuffaloDivision39%0-0-0.000-0-0-0MiamiDivision13%0-0-0.000-AFC South · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
0-0-0HoustonDivision47%0-0-0.000-0-0-0JacksonvilleDivision39%0-0-0.000-0-0-0IndianapolisDivision11%0-0-0.000-The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify