NFL · 2026

Jacksonville JaguarsAFC South - .000 pct vSun 27 Sep, 1:00 PM EDT New England PatriotsAFC East - .000 pct

Match resultJacksonville 57%Tie <1%New England 43%

What this game means

The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.

At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 7% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.

The result is worth up to 15 points in the Division race.

Jacksonville Jaguars
Playoffs70%
Division39%
Conferenceseason odds14%
Super Bowlseason odds8%
Byeseason odds14%
New England Patriots
Playoffs67%
Division44%
Conferenceseason odds14%
Super Bowlseason odds7%
Byeseason odds11%
Jacksonville winDivisionJacksonville Jaguars39%52%▲ +13New England Patriots44%52%▲ +8
TieDivisionJacksonville Jaguars39%39%±0New England Patriots44%54%▲ +10
New England winDivisionJacksonville Jaguars39%38%▼ -1New England Patriots44%68%▲ +24

The race they're in

Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.

AFC East · winner qualifies direct

AFC South · winner qualifies direct

The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify