NFL · 2026
Houston TexansAFC South - .000 pct vSun 4 Oct, 1:00 PM EDT Dallas CowboysNFC East - .000 pct
Match resultHouston 81%Tie <1%Dallas 19%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 4% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 13 points in the Division race.
Houston Texans
Playoffs76%
Division47%
Conferenceseason odds19%
Super Bowlseason odds11%
Byeseason odds17%
Dallas Cowboys
Playoffs34%
Division21%
Conferenceseason odds1%
Byeseason odds2%
Houston winDivisionHouston Texans47%55%▲ +8Dallas Cowboys21%7%▼ -14
TieDivisionHouston Texans47%54%▲ +7Dallas Cowboys21%13%▼ -8
Dallas winDivisionHouston Texans47%42%▼ -5Dallas Cowboys21%14%▼ -7
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC South · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
0-0-0HoustonDivision47%0-0-0.000-0-0-0JacksonvilleDivision39%0-0-0.000-0-0-0IndianapolisDivision11%0-0-0.000-NFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
0-0-0PhiladelphiaDivision53%0-0-0.000-0-0-0DallasDivision21%0-0-0.000-0-0-0WashingtonDivision15%0-0-0.000-The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
0-0-0DenverPlayoffs79%0-0-0.0000-0-0HoustonPlayoffs76%0-0-0.0000-0-0JacksonvillePlayoffs70%0-0-0.000The wild card · top 7 in the NFC qualify