Dallas 12+ wins
Divisional Round
1DallasHomeWild Card Round winner4 Minnesota or 5 Green Bay
Alongside it: Wild Card Round winner v Wild Card Round winner
NFL · 2026
23th by playoff odds32 clubs
Dallas
3rd · 2-0-2Dallas Cowboys saved.Your home page now opens on it — its chances, how far it has moved, and its next game. Saved in this browser only.Continue with Google
Playoffs37%
Elimination number
13
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
Lose the next 13 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.
Chances
The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.
3rd in the table · 23th by playoff odds.
NFC East finish
1st2nd3rd4th
1st · division winner
Most likely 2nd. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.
NFC finish
1st7th · playoff line16th
Most likely 3rd. The top 7 in the conference make the playoffs.
Schedule
The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.
Upcoming
Sun 18 Oct · Away8:20 PM EDTGreen Bay38%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 60%Tie <1%DAL 39%37% → 31% – 53%PlayoffsMon 26 Oct · Away8:15 PM EDTPhiladelphia44%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 61%Tie <1%DAL 38%37% → 31% – 54%PlayoffsSun 1 Nov · Home1:00 PM ESTArizona10%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 67%Tie <1%ARI 33%37% → 26% – 45%Playoffs
Full schedule13 to play
Tonight · Home8:15 PM EDTTampa Bay9%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 70%Tie <1%TB 30%37% → 26% – 43%PlayoffsSun 18 Oct · Away8:20 PM EDTGreen Bay38%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 60%Tie <1%DAL 39%37% → 31% – 53%PlayoffsMon 26 Oct · Away8:15 PM EDTPhiladelphia44%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 61%Tie <1%DAL 38%37% → 31% – 54%PlayoffsSun 1 Nov · Home1:00 PM ESTArizona10%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 67%Tie <1%ARI 33%37% → 26% – 45%PlayoffsSun 8 Nov · Away1:00 PM ESTIndianapolis40%PlayoffsMatch resultIND 57%Tie <1%DAL 43%37% → 29% – 49%PlayoffsSun 15 Nov · Home4:25 PM EST49ers80%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 38%Tie <1%SF 61%37% → 30% – 49%PlayoffsSun 22 Nov · Home1:00 PM ESTTennessee6%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 74%Tie <1%TEN 26%37% → 25% – 42%PlayoffsThu 26 Nov · Home4:30 PM ESTPhiladelphia44%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 53%Tie <1%PHI 47%37% → 26% – 49%PlayoffsMon 7 Dec · Away8:15 PM ESTSeattle66%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 72%Tie <1%DAL 28%37% → 32% – 52%PlayoffsSun 20 Dec · Away4:25 PM ESTRams49%PlayoffsMatch resultLAR 65%Tie <1%DAL 34%37% → 31% – 52%PlayoffsSun 27 Dec · Home8:20 PM ESTJacksonville81%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 41%Tie <1%JAX 58%37% → 30% – 49%PlayoffsSun 3 Jan · Home1:00 PM ESTGiants47%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 57%Tie <1%NYG 43%37% → 23% – 49%PlayoffsSun 10 Jan · Away1:00 PM ESTWashington18%PlayoffsMatch resultWAS 50%Tie <1%DAL 49%37% → 26% – 46%Playoffs
Season so far
Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.
Paths
Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.
Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it
Win the division with a first-round bye2%
Win the division, host a Wild Card game22%
Dallas 9+ wins
Wild Card Round
4DallasHome5Rams
Alongside it: 2 Seattle v 7 Atlanta · 3 Carolina v 6 Minnesota
How the table finishedthe middle season
Wild Card berth, on the road13%
Dallas 9+ wins
Wild Card Round
349ersHome6Dallas
Alongside it: 2 Giants v 7 Rams · 4 Tampa Bay v 5 Minnesota
59% of this route
- above Green BayGreen Bay 1+ game back (90%)
- above DetroitDetroit 1+ game back (91%)
21% of this route
- below Green BayGreen Bay under 14.5 wins (98%)
- above DetroitDetroit under 11.5 wins (93%)
21% of this route
- above Green BayGreen Bay out of the postseason (96%) · Green Bay 0.5+ games back (92%)
- below DetroitDetroit under 14.5 wins (96%)
How the table finishedthe middle season
| Seed | Club | W | L | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 2 | Giants | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 3 | 49ers | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 4 | Tampa Bay | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 5 | Minnesota | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 6 | Dallas | 10 | 6 | 1 |
| 7 | Rams | 9 | 7 | 1 |
| - | Atlanta | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| - | Philadelphia | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| - | Green Bay | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| - | Detroit | 7 | 10 | 0 |
Miss the postseason63%
Dallas under 10.5 wins
82% of this route
- below PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia under 13.5 wins (95%)
18% of this route
- above PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia 1+ game back (98%)
How the table finishedthe middle season
| Seed | Club | W | L | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 2 | Seattle | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 3 | Philadelphia | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 4 | New Orleans | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 5 | Chicago | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 6 | Washington | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 7 | Rams | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| - | Carolina | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| - | 49ers | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| - | Dallas | 6 | 10 | 1 |