NFL · 2026
Dallas Cowboys3rd NFC East - .500 pct vSun 27 Dec, 8:20 PM EST Jacksonville Jaguars1st AFC South - .750 pct
Match resultDallas 41%Tie <1%Jacksonville 58%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 7% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 19 points in the Playoffs race.
Dallas Cowboys
Playoffs37%
Division24%
Conferenceseason odds3%
Super Bowlseason odds1%
Byeseason odds2%
Jacksonville Jaguars
Playoffs81%
Division68%
Conferenceseason odds20%
Super Bowlseason odds11%
Byeseason odds19%
Dallas winPlayoffsDallas Cowboys37%49%▲ +12Jacksonville Jaguars81%93%▲ +12
TiePlayoffsDallas Cowboys37%34%▼ -3Jacksonville Jaguars81%93%▲ +12
Jacksonville winPlayoffsDallas Cowboys37%30%▼ -7Jacksonville Jaguars81%97%▲ +16
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC South · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1JacksonvilleDivision68%3-1-0.750-2IndianapolisDivision24%2-2-0.50013*TennesseeDivision3%0-4-0.0003NFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1GiantsDivision34%3-1-0.750-2PhiladelphiaDivision33%2-2-0.50013DallasDivision24%2-2-0.5001The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
2JacksonvillePlayoffs81%3-1-0.7507New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.500The wild card · top 7 in the NFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
7CarolinaPlayoffs47%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8AtlantaPlayoffs51%2-2-0.50012DallasPlayoffs37%2-2-0.500