Magic Number.
NFL · 2026
16th by playoff odds32 clubs

Atlanta

16th by playoff odds · 0-0-0
Playoffs48%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
17

Win the next 17 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
17

Lose the next 17 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upSun 13 Sep · Away1:00 PM EDTAtlanta48%PlayoffsPittsburgh57%PlayoffsMatch resultPIT 65%Tie <1%ATL 35%Win → 51% · Tie → 49% · Loss → 35%Division

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division34%
Bye5%
Conference3%
Super Bowl1%

16th by playoff odds.

NFC South finish
1st2nd3rd4th
1st · division winner

Most likely 1st. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

NFC finish
1st7th · playoff line16th

Most likely 4th. The top 7 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game and what follows it. Nothing has been played yet.

Next up

Sun 13 Sep · Away1:00 PM EDTAtlanta48%PlayoffsPittsburgh57%PlayoffsMatch resultPIT 65%Tie <1%ATL 35%Win → 51% · Tie → 49% · Loss → 35%Division

Upcoming

Sun 20 Sep · Home1:00 PM EDTCarolina32%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 63%Tie <1%CAR 36%48% → 31% – 52%PlayoffsThu 24 Sep · Away8:15 PM EDTGreen Bay43%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 61%Tie <1%ATL 38%48% → 38% – 55%PlayoffsMon 5 Oct · Away8:15 PM EDTNew Orleans36%PlayoffsMatch resultNO 47%Tie <1%ATL 53%48% → 33% – 55%Playoffs
Full schedule17 to play
Sun 13 Sep · Away1:00 PM EDTPittsburgh57%PlayoffsMatch resultPIT 65%Tie <1%ATL 35%34% → 35% – 51%DivisionSun 20 Sep · Home1:00 PM EDTCarolina32%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 63%Tie <1%CAR 36%48% → 31% – 52%PlayoffsThu 24 Sep · Away8:15 PM EDTGreen Bay43%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 61%Tie <1%ATL 38%48% → 38% – 55%PlayoffsMon 5 Oct · Away8:15 PM EDTNew Orleans36%PlayoffsMatch resultNO 47%Tie <1%ATL 53%48% → 33% – 55%PlayoffsSun 11 Oct · Home8:20 PM EDTBaltimore48%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 56%Tie <1%BAL 44%48% → 34% – 52%PlayoffsSun 18 Oct · Home1:00 PM EDTChicago48%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 48%Tie <1%CHI 52%48% → 35% – 54%PlayoffsSun 25 Oct · Home1:00 PM EDT49ers61%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 42%Tie <1%SF 57%48% → 37% – 56%PlayoffsSun 1 Nov · Away1:00 PM ESTTampa Bay34%PlayoffsMatch resultTB 49%Tie <1%ATL 50%48% → 35% – 55%PlayoffsSun 8 Nov · Home9:30 AM ESTCincinnati32%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 67%Tie <1%CIN 32%48% → 33% – 50%PlayoffsSun 15 Nov · Home1:00 PM ESTKansas City24%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 68%Tie <1%KC 31%48% → 31% – 49%PlayoffsSun 29 Nov · Away1:00 PM ESTMinnesota54%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 66%Tie <1%ATL 33%48% → 35% – 55%PlayoffsSun 6 Dec · Home1:00 PM ESTDetroit54%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 49%Tie <1%DET 50%48% → 33% – 51%PlayoffsSun 13 Dec · Away1:00 PM ESTCleveland30%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 42%Tie <1%ATL 57%48% → 33% – 50%PlayoffsSun 20 Dec · Away1:00 PM ESTWashington25%PlayoffsMatch resultWAS 44%Tie <1%ATL 56%48% → 35% – 53%PlayoffsSun 27 Dec · Home1:00 PM ESTTampa Bay34%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 64%Tie <1%TB 35%48% → 30% – 52%PlayoffsSun 3 Jan · Home1:00 PM ESTNew Orleans36%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 66%Tie <1%NO 33%48% → 31% – 55%PlayoffsSun 10 Jan · Away1:00 PM ESTCarolina32%PlayoffsMatch resultCAR 50%Tie <1%ATL 49%48% → 38% – 59%Playoffs

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-08-032026-08-13

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round bye5%

Atlanta 13.5+ wins

Divisional Round
1AtlantaHomeWild Card Round winner4 Green Bay or 5 Tampa Bay

Alongside it: Wild Card Round winner v Wild Card Round winner

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,065. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Atlanta1520
249ers1430
3Philadelphia1070
4Green Bay1070
5Tampa Bay1430
6Seattle1160
7Minnesota980
-Washington980
-Carolina890
Win the division, host a Wild Card game29%

Atlanta 9+ wins

Wild Card Round
3AtlantaHome6Chicago

Alongside it: 2 Minnesota v 7 Carolina · 4 Giants v 5 Detroit

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 5,730. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
149ers1430
2Minnesota1430
3Atlanta1151
4Giants1160
5Detroit1160
6Chicago1070
7Carolina1070
-Rams980
-Washington890
-New Orleans7100
-Tampa Bay6110
Wild Card berth, on the road14%

Atlanta 9+ wins

Wild Card Round
3PhiladelphiaHome6Atlanta

Alongside it: 2 Seattle v 7 Tampa Bay · 4 Chicago v 5 49ers

  1. 42% of this route

  2. 30% of this route

  3. 28% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,148. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Carolina1340
2Seattle1340
3Philadelphia1160
4Chicago1070
549ers1250
6Atlanta1160
7Tampa Bay1070
-Minnesota1070
-Rams890
-Detroit7100
-Green Bay7100
Miss the postseason52%