Magic Number.
NFL · 2026
8th by playoff odds32 clubs

49ers

8th by playoff odds · 0-0-0
Playoffs61%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
17

Win the next 17 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
17

Lose the next 17 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upThu 10 Sep · Away8:35 PM EDT49ers61%PlayoffsRams60%PlayoffsMatch resultLAR 57%Tie <1%SF 43%Win → 90% · Tie → 79% · Loss → 75%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division25%
Bye11%
Conference11%
Super Bowl5%

8th by playoff odds.

NFC West finish
1st2nd3rd4th
1st · division winner

Most likely 2nd. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

NFC finish
1st7th · playoff line16th

Most likely 5th. The top 7 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game and what follows it. Nothing has been played yet.

Next up

Thu 10 Sep · Away8:35 PM EDT49ers61%PlayoffsRams60%PlayoffsMatch resultLAR 57%Tie <1%SF 43%Win → 90% · Tie → 79% · Loss → 75%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sun 20 Sep · Home4:25 PM EDTMiami30%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 76%Tie <1%MIA 24%61% → 70% – 86%PlayoffsSun 27 Sep · Home4:05 PM EDTArizona8%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 88%Tie <1%ARI 12%61% → 67% – 84%PlayoffsSun 4 Oct · Home4:25 PM EDTDenver79%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 45%Tie <1%DEN 54%61% → 74% – 88%Playoffs
Full schedule17 to play
Thu 10 Sep · Away8:35 PM EDTRams60%PlayoffsMatch resultLAR 57%Tie <1%SF 43%61% → 75% – 90%PlayoffsSun 20 Sep · Home4:25 PM EDTMiami30%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 76%Tie <1%MIA 24%61% → 70% – 86%PlayoffsSun 27 Sep · Home4:05 PM EDTArizona8%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 88%Tie <1%ARI 12%61% → 67% – 84%PlayoffsSun 4 Oct · Home4:25 PM EDTDenver79%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 45%Tie <1%DEN 54%61% → 74% – 88%PlayoffsSun 11 Oct · Away4:25 PM EDTSeattle80%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 71%Tie <1%SF 29%25% → 7% – 24%DivisionMon 19 Oct · Home8:15 PM EDTWashington25%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 80%Tie <1%WAS 20%61% → 67% – 84%PlayoffsSun 25 Oct · Away1:00 PM EDTAtlanta48%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 42%Tie <1%SF 57%61% → 72% – 87%PlayoffsSun 8 Nov · Home4:05 PM ESTLas Vegas10%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 88%Tie <1%LV 12%61% → 67% – 82%PlayoffsSun 15 Nov · Away4:25 PM ESTDallas34%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 36%Tie <1%SF 64%61% → 71% – 86%PlayoffsSun 22 Nov · Home8:20 PM ESTMinnesota54%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 62%Tie <1%MIN 38%61% → 71% – 86%PlayoffsSun 29 Nov · Home4:25 PM ESTSeattle80%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 42%Tie <1%SEA 58%25% → 7% – 23%DivisionSun 6 Dec · Away1:00 PM ESTGiants18%PlayoffsMatch resultNYG 25%Tie <1%SF 75%61% → 67% – 83%PlayoffsSun 13 Dec · Home4:25 PM ESTRams60%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 57%Tie <1%LAR 43%61% → 69% – 85%PlayoffsThu 17 Dec · Away8:15 PM ESTChargers57%PlayoffsMatch resultLAC 54%Tie <1%SF 46%61% → 70% – 85%PlayoffsSun 27 Dec · Away4:25 PM ESTKansas City24%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 31%Tie <1%SF 68%61% → 69% – 84%PlayoffsSun 3 Jan · Home8:20 PM ESTPhiladelphia65%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 59%Tie <1%PHI 40%61% → 71% – 85%PlayoffsSun 10 Jan · Away1:00 PM ESTArizona8%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 20%Tie <1%SF 80%61% → 68% – 79%Playoffs

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-08-032026-08-13

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round bye11%

49ers 14+ wins

Divisional Round
149ersHomeWild Card Round winner4 Philadelphia or 5 Rams

Alongside it: Wild Card Round winner v Wild Card Round winner

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,131. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
149ers1520
2Atlanta1340
3Green Bay1250
4Philadelphia971
5Rams1520
6Chicago1250
7Seattle1061
-New Orleans1070
-Dallas971
Win the division, host a Wild Card game15%

49ers 11+ wins

Wild Card Round
249ersHome7Carolina

Alongside it: 3 Atlanta v 6 Rams · 4 Chicago v 5 Seattle

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,908. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Philadelphia1520
249ers1340
3Atlanta1160
4Chicago1070
5Seattle971
6Rams980
7Carolina890
-Green Bay890
-Detroit791
Wild Card berth, on the road36%

49ers 9+ wins

Wild Card Round
3MinnesotaHome649ers

Alongside it: 2 Seattle v 7 New Orleans · 4 Atlanta v 5 Rams

  1. 76% of this route

  2. 24% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 5,416. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Washington1520
2Seattle1430
3Minnesota1151
4Atlanta1160
5Rams1340
649ers1151
7New Orleans980
-Carolina890
-Detroit890
-Arizona5120
Miss the postseason39%

49ers under 10.5 wins

  1. 72% of this route

  2. 16% of this route

  3. 12% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 5,628. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Seattle1340
2Minnesota1160
3Tampa Bay1061
4Washington980
5Rams1151
6Arizona1070
7Dallas890
-Atlanta890
-Green Bay890
-49ers7100