Magic Number.
NFL · 2026
1st by playoff odds32 clubs

Seattle

1st by playoff odds · 0-0-0
Playoffs80%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
17

Win the next 17 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
17

Lose the next 17 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upWed 9 Sep · Home8:20 PM EDTSeattle80%PlayoffsNew England67%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 67%Tie <1%NE 33%Win → 78% · Tie → 64% · Loss → 64%Division

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division48%
Bye24%
Conference34%
Super Bowl20%

1st by playoff odds.

NFC West finish
1st2nd3rd4th
1st · division winner

Most likely 1st. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

NFC finish
1st7th · playoff line16th

Most likely 1st. The top 7 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game and what follows it. Nothing has been played yet.

Next up

Wed 9 Sep · Home8:20 PM EDTSeattle80%PlayoffsNew England67%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 67%Tie <1%NE 33%Win → 78% · Tie → 64% · Loss → 64%Division

Upcoming

Sun 20 Sep · Away4:25 PM EDTArizona8%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 12%Tie <1%SEA 88%48% → 65% – 78%DivisionSun 27 Sep · Away1:00 PM EDTWashington25%PlayoffsMatch resultWAS 19%Tie <1%SEA 80%48% → 66% – 79%DivisionSun 4 Oct · Home4:25 PM EDTChargers57%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 73%Tie <1%LAC 26%48% → 68% – 80%Division
Full schedule17 to play
Wed 9 Sep · Home8:20 PM EDTNew England67%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 67%Tie <1%NE 33%48% → 64% – 78%DivisionSun 20 Sep · Away4:25 PM EDTArizona8%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 12%Tie <1%SEA 88%48% → 65% – 78%DivisionSun 27 Sep · Away1:00 PM EDTWashington25%PlayoffsMatch resultWAS 19%Tie <1%SEA 80%48% → 66% – 79%DivisionSun 4 Oct · Home4:25 PM EDTChargers57%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 73%Tie <1%LAC 26%48% → 68% – 80%DivisionSun 11 Oct · Home4:25 PM EDT49ers61%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 71%Tie <1%SF 29%48% → 63% – 82%DivisionThu 15 Oct · Away8:15 PM EDTDenver79%PlayoffsMatch resultDEN 54%Tie <1%SEA 46%48% → 70% – 82%DivisionSun 25 Oct · Home8:20 PM EDTKansas City24%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 88%Tie <1%KC 12%48% → 64% – 77%DivisionMon 2 Nov · Home8:15 PM ESTChicago48%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 75%Tie <1%CHI 25%48% → 66% – 79%DivisionSun 8 Nov · Home4:25 PM ESTArizona8%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 93%Tie <1%ARI 7%48% → 63% – 77%DivisionSun 15 Nov · Away4:05 PM ESTLas Vegas10%PlayoffsMatch resultLV 11%Tie <1%SEA 89%48% → 63% – 77%DivisionSun 29 Nov · Away4:25 PM EST49ers61%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 42%Tie <1%SEA 58%48% → 63% – 82%DivisionMon 7 Dec · Home8:15 PM ESTDallas34%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 85%Tie <1%DAL 15%48% → 64% – 77%DivisionSun 13 Dec · Home4:25 PM ESTGiants18%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 91%Tie <1%NYG 9%48% → 63% – 77%DivisionSat 19 Dec · Away5:00 PM ESTPhiladelphia65%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 40%Tie <1%SEA 60%48% → 68% – 82%DivisionFri 25 Dec · Home8:15 PM ESTRams60%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 71%Tie <1%LAR 29%48% → 62% – 84%DivisionSun 3 Jan · Away1:00 PM ESTCarolina32%PlayoffsMatch resultCAR 23%Tie <1%SEA 76%48% → 64% – 78%DivisionSun 10 Jan · Away1:00 PM ESTRams60%PlayoffsMatch resultLAR 42%Tie <1%SEA 58%48% → 58% – 84%Division

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-08-032026-08-13

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round bye24%

Seattle 14+ wins

Divisional Round
1SeattleHomeWild Card Round winner4 Philadelphia or 5 Rams

Alongside it: Wild Card Round winner v Wild Card Round winner

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 4,753. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Seattle1520
2Minnesota1340
3Atlanta1160
4Philadelphia1070
5Rams1241
6Chicago1250
7New Orleans1070
-49ers971
-Detroit980
Win the division, host a Wild Card game25%

Seattle 11+ wins

Wild Card Round
2SeattleHome7Rams

Alongside it: 3 Green Bay v 6 Minnesota · 4 Carolina v 5 Chicago

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 4,943. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Philadelphia1520
2Seattle1340
3Green Bay1250
4Carolina980
5Chicago1160
6Minnesota1160
7Rams980
-49ers980
-Giants881
Wild Card berth, on the road31%

Seattle 9+ wins

Wild Card Round
4PhiladelphiaHome5Seattle

Alongside it: 2 Green Bay v 7 Dallas · 3 Rams v 6 Detroit

  1. 42% of this route

  2. 42% of this route

  3. 17% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,619. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Atlanta1610
2Green Bay1430
3Rams1340
4Philadelphia1250
5Seattle1151
6Detroit1160
7Dallas1070
-Washington1070
-Chicago980
-49ers890
Miss the postseason20%