Magic Number.
NFL · 2026
13th by playoff odds32 clubs

Rams

3rd · 2-0-2
Playoffs49%
Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
13

Lose the next 13 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upMonday · Home8:15 PM EDTRams49%PlayoffsBuffalo70%PlayoffsMatch resultLAR 53%Tie <1%BUF 47%Win → 57% · Tie → 46% · Loss → 36%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Away4 OctPhiladelphia20Rams±02438% → 38%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division15%
Bye4%
Conference6%
Super Bowl3%

3rd in the table · 13th by playoff odds.

NFC West finish
1st2nd3rd4th
1st · division winner

Most likely 3rd. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

NFC finish
1st7th · playoff line16th

Most likely 5th. The top 7 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Monday · Home8:15 PM EDTRams49%PlayoffsBuffalo70%PlayoffsMatch resultLAR 53%Tie <1%BUF 47%Win → 57% · Tie → 46% · Loss → 36%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sun 18 Oct · Home4:05 PM EDTArizona10%PlayoffsMatch resultLAR 74%Tie <1%ARI 25%49% → 30% – 50%PlayoffsSun 25 Oct · Away4:25 PM EDTLas Vegas46%PlayoffsMatch resultLV 48%Tie <1%LAR 52%49% → 38% – 59%PlayoffsSun 1 Nov · Home4:05 PM ESTChargers11%PlayoffsMatch resultLAR 71%Tie <1%LAC 29%49% → 34% – 54%Playoffs
Full schedule13 to play
Monday · Home8:15 PM EDTBuffalo70%PlayoffsMatch resultLAR 53%Tie <1%BUF 47%49% → 36% – 57%PlayoffsSun 18 Oct · Home4:05 PM EDTArizona10%PlayoffsMatch resultLAR 74%Tie <1%ARI 25%49% → 30% – 50%PlayoffsSun 25 Oct · Away4:25 PM EDTLas Vegas46%PlayoffsMatch resultLV 48%Tie <1%LAR 52%49% → 38% – 59%PlayoffsSun 1 Nov · Home4:05 PM ESTChargers11%PlayoffsMatch resultLAR 71%Tie <1%LAC 29%49% → 34% – 54%PlayoffsSun 8 Nov · Away1:00 PM ESTWashington18%PlayoffsMatch resultWAS 41%Tie <1%LAR 58%49% → 37% – 58%PlayoffsSun 15 Nov · Away4:05 PM ESTArizona10%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 38%Tie <1%LAR 62%49% → 35% – 56%PlayoffsWed 25 Nov · Home8:00 PM ESTGreen Bay38%PlayoffsMatch resultLAR 62%Tie <1%GB 38%49% → 34% – 58%PlayoffsThu 3 Dec · Home8:15 PM ESTKansas City80%PlayoffsMatch resultLAR 54%Tie <1%KC 45%49% → 39% – 60%PlayoffsSun 13 Dec · Away4:25 PM EST49ers80%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 66%Tie <1%LAR 33%49% → 46% – 66%PlayoffsSun 20 Dec · Home4:25 PM ESTDallas37%PlayoffsMatch resultLAR 65%Tie <1%DAL 34%49% → 38% – 60%PlayoffsFri 25 Dec · Away8:15 PM ESTSeattle66%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 64%Tie <1%LAR 35%49% → 46% – 67%PlayoffsSun 3 Jan · Away1:00 PM ESTTampa Bay9%PlayoffsMatch resultTB 35%Tie <1%LAR 65%49% → 40% – 62%PlayoffsSun 10 Jan · Home1:00 PM ESTSeattle66%PlayoffsMatch resultLAR 49%Tie <1%SEA 50%49% → 39% – 63%Playoffs

History

Final · Away4 OctPhiladelphia20Rams±02438% → 38%PlayoffsFinal · Away27 SepDenver30Rams▼ -82644% → 36%PlayoffsFinal · Home21 SepGiants6Rams▲ +72835% → 42%Playoffs
All results4 played
Final · Away4 OctPhiladelphia20Rams±02438% → 38%PlayoffsFinal · Away27 SepDenver30Rams▼ -82644% → 36%PlayoffsFinal · Home21 SepGiants6Rams▲ +72835% → 42%PlayoffsFinal · Home10 Sep49ers27Rams▼ -10749% → 39%Playoffs

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-08-032026-10-06

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round bye4%

Rams 12+ wins

Divisional Round
1RamsHomeWild Card Round winner4 Carolina or 5 49ers

Alongside it: Wild Card Round winner v Wild Card Round winner

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 885. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Rams1430
2Detroit1250
3Dallas1070
4Carolina1070
549ers1160
6Seattle1160
7Minnesota1160
-New Orleans980
-Washington890
Win the division, host a Wild Card game10%

Rams 10+ wins

Wild Card Round
2RamsHome7Green Bay

Alongside it: 3 Carolina v 6 Arizona · 4 Dallas v 5 Minnesota

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,089. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Chicago1340
2Rams1250
3Carolina980
4Dallas890
5Minnesota1160
6Arizona1070
7Green Bay1070
-49ers971
-Detroit980
-Seattle980
Wild Card berth, on the road35%

Rams 9+ wins

Wild Card Round
4DallasHome5Rams

Alongside it: 2 49ers v 7 Arizona · 3 New Orleans v 6 Minnesota

  1. 61% of this route

  2. 20% of this route

  3. 19% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 4,238. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Chicago1520
249ers1520
3New Orleans1250
4Dallas980
5Rams1160
6Minnesota1160
7Arizona1070
-Carolina971
-Atlanta980
-Detroit890
-Green Bay791
Miss the postseason51%