Magic Number.
NFL · 2026
22th by playoff odds32 clubs

Green Bay

4th · 2-0-2
Playoffs38%
Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
13

Lose the next 13 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upSunday · Home1:00 PM EDTGreen Bay38%PlayoffsChicago59%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 49%Tie <1%CHI 50%Win → 32% · Tie → 29% · Loss → 14%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Away4 OctTampa Bay14Green Bay±01730% → 30%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division10%
Bye2%
Conference3%
Super Bowl1%

4th in the table · 22th by playoff odds.

NFC North finish
1st2nd3rd4th
1st · division winner

Most likely 4th. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

NFC finish
1st7th · playoff line16th

Most likely 6th. The top 7 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Sunday · Home1:00 PM EDTGreen Bay38%PlayoffsChicago59%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 49%Tie <1%CHI 50%Win → 32% · Tie → 29% · Loss → 14%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sun 18 Oct · Home8:20 PM EDTDallas37%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 60%Tie <1%DAL 39%38% → 14% – 28%PlayoffsSun 25 Oct · Away4:25 PM EDTDetroit39%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 57%Tie <1%GB 43%38% → 17% – 36%PlayoffsThu 29 Oct · Home8:15 PM EDTCarolina47%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 59%Tie <1%CAR 40%38% → 17% – 35%Playoffs
Full schedule13 to play
Sunday · Home1:00 PM EDTChicago59%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 49%Tie <1%CHI 50%38% → 14% – 32%PlayoffsSun 18 Oct · Home8:20 PM EDTDallas37%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 60%Tie <1%DAL 39%38% → 14% – 28%PlayoffsSun 25 Oct · Away4:25 PM EDTDetroit39%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 57%Tie <1%GB 43%38% → 17% – 36%PlayoffsThu 29 Oct · Home8:15 PM EDTCarolina47%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 59%Tie <1%CAR 40%38% → 17% – 35%PlayoffsSun 8 Nov · Away4:25 PM ESTNew England64%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 65%Tie <1%GB 35%38% → 21% – 39%PlayoffsSun 15 Nov · Home1:00 PM ESTMinnesota83%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 43%Tie <1%MIN 57%38% → 19% – 38%PlayoffsWed 25 Nov · Away8:00 PM ESTRams49%PlayoffsMatch resultLAR 62%Tie <1%GB 38%38% → 20% – 41%PlayoffsSun 6 Dec · Away1:00 PM ESTNew Orleans21%PlayoffsMatch resultNO 46%Tie <1%GB 54%38% → 17% – 35%PlayoffsSun 13 Dec · Home8:20 PM ESTBuffalo70%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 48%Tie <1%BUF 52%38% → 17% – 34%PlayoffsSun 20 Dec · Home1:00 PM ESTMiami9%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 70%Tie <1%MIA 29%38% → 14% – 28%PlayoffsFri 25 Dec · Away1:00 PM ESTChicago59%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 64%Tie <1%GB 36%38% → 15% – 34%PlayoffsMon 4 Jan · Home8:15 PM ESTHouston12%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 66%Tie <1%HOU 34%38% → 12% – 27%PlayoffsSun 10 Jan · Home1:00 PM ESTDetroit39%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 57%Tie <1%DET 43%38% → 12% – 31%Playoffs

History

Final · Away4 OctTampa Bay14Green Bay±01730% → 30%PlayoffsFinal · Home24 SepAtlanta35Green Bay▼ -141443% → 29%PlayoffsFinal · Away20 SepJets17Green Bay▲ +82035% → 43%Playoffs
All results4 played
Final · Away4 OctTampa Bay14Green Bay±01730% → 30%PlayoffsFinal · Home24 SepAtlanta35Green Bay▼ -141443% → 29%PlayoffsFinal · Away20 SepJets17Green Bay▲ +82035% → 43%PlayoffsFinal · Away13 SepMinnesota39Green Bay▼ -62244% → 38%Playoffs

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-08-032026-10-06

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round bye2%

Green Bay 13+ wins

Divisional Round
1Green BayHomeWild Card Round winner4 Philadelphia or 5 49ers

Alongside it: Wild Card Round winner v Wild Card Round winner

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 494. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Green Bay1430
2Atlanta1250
3Seattle1160
4Philadelphia1160
549ers1160
6Minnesota1160
7Detroit1070
-Chicago890
-Rams890
Win the division, host a Wild Card game8%

Green Bay 11+ wins

Wild Card Round
3Green BayHome6Minnesota

Alongside it: 2 Atlanta v 7 Carolina · 4 Rams v 5 Seattle

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,547. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Philadelphia1340
2Atlanta1250
3Green Bay1250
4Rams1250
5Seattle1160
6Minnesota1070
7Carolina1070
-Dallas971
-Detroit980
-Chicago881
Wild Card berth, on the road27%

Green Bay 9+ wins

Wild Card Round
2MinnesotaHome7Green Bay

Alongside it: 3 Giants v 6 Chicago · 4 Tampa Bay v 5 Seattle

  1. 60% of this route

  2. 21% of this route

  3. 19% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 3,286. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
149ers1250
2Minnesota1250
3Giants1160
4Tampa Bay1070
5Seattle1160
6Chicago1160
7Green Bay1160
-Arizona1061
-Carolina980
-Rams890
-Detroit7100
Miss the postseason62%