Magic Number.
NFL · 2026

Green Bay Packers4th NFC North - .500 pct vSun 13 Dec, 8:20 PM EST Buffalo Bills1st AFC East - .750 pct

Match resultGreen Bay 48%Tie <1%Buffalo 52%

What this game means

The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.

At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 9% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.

The result is worth up to 16 points in the Playoffs race.

Green Bay Packers
Playoffs38%
Division10%
Conferenceseason odds3%
Super Bowlseason odds1%
Byeseason odds2%
Buffalo Bills
Playoffs70%
Division46%
Conferenceseason odds13%
Super Bowlseason odds7%
Byeseason odds12%
Green Bay winPlayoffsGreen Bay Packers38%34%▼ -4Buffalo Bills70%77%▲ +7
TiePlayoffsGreen Bay Packers38%32%▼ -6Buffalo Bills70%80%▲ +10
Buffalo winPlayoffsGreen Bay Packers38%17%▼ -21Buffalo Bills70%90%▲ +20

The race they're in

Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.

AFC East · winner qualifies direct

DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1BuffaloDivision46%3-1-0.750-2New EnglandDivision42%2-2-0.50013JetsDivision7%1-3-0.2502

NFC North · winner qualifies direct

DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1MinnesotaDivision55%4-0-01.000-2ChicagoDivision22%3-1-0.75014Green BayDivision10%2-2-0.5002

The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify

PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
3BuffaloPlayoffs70%3-1-0.7507New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500
Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.500

The wild card · top 7 in the NFC qualify

PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
7CarolinaPlayoffs47%2-2-0.500
Playoff line
8AtlantaPlayoffs51%2-2-0.50010Green BayPlayoffs38%2-2-0.500