Magic Number.
NFL · 2026
26th by playoff odds32 clubs

Jets

3rd · 1-0-3
Playoffs16%
Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
12

Lose the next 12 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upSunday · Home1:00 PM EDTJets16%PlayoffsCleveland63%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 40%Tie <1%CLE 59%Win → 3% · Tie → 2% · Loss → 1%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Away4 OctChicago23Jets±01219% → 19%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division7%
Bye1%
Conference<1%
Super Bowl<1%

3rd in the table · 26th by playoff odds.

AFC East finish
1st2nd3rd4th
1st · division winner

Most likely 4th. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

AFC finish
1st7th · playoff line16th

Most likely 15th. The top 7 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Sunday · Home1:00 PM EDTJets16%PlayoffsCleveland63%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 40%Tie <1%CLE 59%Win → 3% · Tie → 2% · Loss → 1%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sun 18 Oct · Away1:00 PM EDTNew England64%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 77%Tie <1%NYJ 22%16% → 1% – 5%PlayoffsSun 25 Oct · Home1:00 PM EDTMiami9%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 57%Tie <1%MIA 43%16% → 1% – 3%PlayoffsSun 1 Nov · Home1:00 PM ESTLas Vegas46%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 46%Tie <1%LV 53%16% → 1% – 3%Playoffs
Full schedule13 to play
Sunday · Home1:00 PM EDTCleveland63%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 40%Tie <1%CLE 59%16% → 1% – 3%PlayoffsSun 18 Oct · Away1:00 PM EDTNew England64%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 77%Tie <1%NYJ 22%16% → 1% – 5%PlayoffsSun 25 Oct · Home1:00 PM EDTMiami9%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 57%Tie <1%MIA 43%16% → 1% – 3%PlayoffsSun 1 Nov · Home1:00 PM ESTLas Vegas46%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 46%Tie <1%LV 53%16% → 1% – 3%PlayoffsSun 8 Nov · Away1:00 PM ESTKansas City80%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 77%Tie <1%NYJ 23%16% → 1% – 5%PlayoffsSun 15 Nov · Home1:00 PM ESTBuffalo70%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 33%Tie <1%BUF 66%16% → 1% – 5%PlayoffsSun 22 Nov · Away4:05 PM ESTChargers11%PlayoffsMatch resultLAC 62%Tie <1%NYJ 38%16% → 2% – 5%PlayoffsSun 29 Nov · Away1:00 PM ESTMiami9%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 57%Tie <1%NYJ 42%16% → 2% – 6%PlayoffsSun 13 Dec · Home1:00 PM ESTDenver58%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 34%Tie <1%DEN 65%16% → 2% – 7%PlayoffsSun 20 Dec · Away4:05 PM ESTArizona10%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 58%Tie <1%NYJ 42%16% → 2% – 6%PlayoffsSun 27 Dec · Home1:00 PM ESTNew England64%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 34%Tie <1%NE 66%16% → 3% – 7%PlayoffsSun 3 Jan · Home1:00 PM ESTMinnesota83%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 29%Tie <1%MIN 70%16% → 3% – 7%PlayoffsSun 10 Jan · Away1:00 PM ESTBuffalo70%PlayoffsMatch resultBUF 78%Tie <1%NYJ 22%16% → 3% – 6%Playoffs

History

Final · Away4 OctChicago23Jets±01219% → 19%PlayoffsFinal · Away27 SepDetroit31Jets▼ -72429% → 22%PlayoffsFinal · Home20 SepGreen Bay20Jets▼ -111739% → 28%Playoffs
All results4 played
Final · Away4 OctChicago23Jets±01219% → 19%PlayoffsFinal · Away27 SepDetroit31Jets▼ -72429% → 22%PlayoffsFinal · Home20 SepGreen Bay20Jets▼ -111739% → 28%PlayoffsFinal · Away13 SepTennessee10Jets▲ +82330% → 38%Playoffs

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-08-032026-10-06

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round bye1%

A possible long-shot route: 120 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Jets 11+ wins

Win the division, host a Wild Card game7%

Jets 9+ wins

Wild Card Round
3JetsHome6Kansas City

Alongside it: 2 Denver v 7 Jacksonville · 4 Indianapolis v 5 Las Vegas

How the table finishedthe middle season
The AFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,343. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Baltimore1340
2Denver1340
3Jets1070
4Indianapolis1070
5Las Vegas1160
6Kansas City1070
7Jacksonville1070
-Cleveland1070
-Buffalo890
-New England7100
Wild Card berth, on the road9%

Jets 8+ wins

Wild Card Round
3MiamiHome6Jets

Alongside it: 2 Kansas City v 7 Indianapolis · 4 Jacksonville v 5 Cleveland

  1. 56% of this route

    • above Las VegasLas Vegas out of the postseason (91%) · Las Vegas under 9.5 wins (94%)
    • above CincinnatiCincinnati out of the postseason (90%) · Cincinnati under 9.5 wins (91%)

  2. 25% of this route

  3. 19% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The AFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 981. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Baltimore1430
2Kansas City1250
3Miami1160
4Jacksonville1160
5Cleveland1340
6Jets971
7Indianapolis980
-Chargers980
-New England890
-Cincinnati7100
-Las Vegas7100
Miss the postseason84%

Jets under 9.5 wins

  1. 86% of this route

  2. 14% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The AFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 14,409. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Pittsburgh1430
2New England1340
3Kansas City1070
4Jacksonville980
5Baltimore1430
6Cleveland1160
7Denver980
-Buffalo980
-Cincinnati980
-Las Vegas980
-Jets5120