NFL · 2026
Buffalo Bills1st AFC East - .750 pct vSun 10 Jan, 1:00 PM EST New York Jets3rd AFC East - .250 pct
Match resultBuffalo 78%Tie <1%Jets 22%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 5% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 16 points in the Playoffs race.
Buffalo Bills
Playoffs70%
Division46%
Conferenceseason odds13%
Super Bowlseason odds7%
Byeseason odds12%
New York Jets
Playoffs16%
Division7%
Buffalo winPlayoffsBuffalo Bills70%88%▲ +18New York Jets16%3%▼ -13
TiePlayoffsBuffalo Bills70%75%▲ +5New York Jets16%3%▼ -13
Jets winPlayoffsBuffalo Bills70%72%▲ +2New York Jets16%6%▼ -10
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1BuffaloDivision46%3-1-0.750-2New EnglandDivision42%2-2-0.50013JetsDivision7%1-3-0.2502The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
3BuffaloPlayoffs70%3-1-0.7507New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.50012JetsPlayoffs16%1-3-0.250