NFL · 2026
New York Jets3rd AFC East - .250 pct vSun 15 Nov, 1:00 PM EST Buffalo Bills1st AFC East - .750 pct
Match resultJets 33%Tie <1%Buffalo 66%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 5% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 17 points in the Division race.
New York Jets
Playoffs16%
Division7%
Buffalo Bills
Playoffs70%
Division46%
Conferenceseason odds13%
Super Bowlseason odds7%
Byeseason odds12%
Jets winDivisionNew York Jets7%2%▼ -5Buffalo Bills46%50%▲ +4
TieDivisionNew York Jets7%1%▼ -6Buffalo Bills46%52%▲ +6
Buffalo winDivisionNew York Jets7%<1%▼ -7Buffalo Bills46%68%▲ +22
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1BuffaloDivision46%3-1-0.750-2New EnglandDivision42%2-2-0.50013JetsDivision7%1-3-0.2502The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
3BuffaloPlayoffs70%3-1-0.7507New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.50012JetsPlayoffs16%1-3-0.250