Magic Number.
NFL · 2026
14th by playoff odds32 clubs

Chicago

14th by playoff odds · 0-0-0
Playoffs48%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
17

Win the next 17 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
17

Lose the next 17 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upSun 13 Sep · Away1:00 PM EDTChicago48%PlayoffsCarolina32%PlayoffsMatch resultCAR 41%Tie <1%CHI 59%Win → 43% · Tie → 38% · Loss → 27%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division24%
Bye6%
Conference6%
Super Bowl3%

14th by playoff odds.

NFC North finish
1st2nd3rd4th
1st · division winner

Most likely 4th. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

NFC finish
1st7th · playoff line16th

Most likely 6th. The top 7 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game and what follows it. Nothing has been played yet.

Next up

Sun 13 Sep · Away1:00 PM EDTChicago48%PlayoffsCarolina32%PlayoffsMatch resultCAR 41%Tie <1%CHI 59%Win → 43% · Tie → 38% · Loss → 27%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sun 20 Sep · Home1:00 PM EDTMinnesota54%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 57%Tie <1%MIN 43%48% → 26% – 47%PlayoffsMon 28 Sep · Home8:15 PM EDTPhiladelphia65%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 54%Tie <1%PHI 45%48% → 31% – 51%PlayoffsSun 4 Oct · Home1:00 PM EDTJets13%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 84%Tie <1%NYJ 16%48% → 25% – 43%Playoffs
Full schedule17 to play
Sun 13 Sep · Away1:00 PM EDTCarolina32%PlayoffsMatch resultCAR 41%Tie <1%CHI 59%48% → 27% – 43%PlayoffsSun 20 Sep · Home1:00 PM EDTMinnesota54%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 57%Tie <1%MIN 43%48% → 26% – 47%PlayoffsMon 28 Sep · Home8:15 PM EDTPhiladelphia65%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 54%Tie <1%PHI 45%48% → 31% – 51%PlayoffsSun 4 Oct · Home1:00 PM EDTJets13%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 84%Tie <1%NYJ 16%48% → 25% – 43%PlayoffsSun 11 Oct · Away4:25 PM EDTGreen Bay43%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 52%Tie <1%CHI 48%48% → 30% – 53%PlayoffsSun 18 Oct · Away1:00 PM EDTAtlanta48%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 48%Tie <1%CHI 52%48% → 28% – 49%PlayoffsThu 22 Oct · Home8:15 PM EDTNew England67%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 47%Tie <1%NE 53%48% → 29% – 48%PlayoffsMon 2 Nov · Away8:15 PM ESTSeattle80%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 75%Tie <1%CHI 25%48% → 35% – 55%PlayoffsSun 8 Nov · Home8:20 PM ESTTampa Bay34%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 72%Tie <1%TB 27%48% → 26% – 45%PlayoffsSun 22 Nov · Home1:00 PM ESTNew Orleans36%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 74%Tie <1%NO 25%48% → 27% – 46%PlayoffsThu 26 Nov · Away1:00 PM ESTDetroit54%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 55%Tie <1%CHI 44%48% → 32% – 52%PlayoffsSun 6 Dec · Home1:00 PM ESTJacksonville70%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 47%Tie <1%JAX 53%48% → 32% – 50%PlayoffsSun 13 Dec · Away1:00 PM ESTMiami30%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 41%Tie <1%CHI 59%48% → 30% – 49%PlayoffsSat 19 Dec · Away8:20 PM ESTBuffalo63%PlayoffsMatch resultBUF 63%Tie <1%CHI 36%48% → 33% – 52%PlayoffsFri 25 Dec · Home1:00 PM ESTGreen Bay43%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 62%Tie <1%GB 38%48% → 25% – 47%PlayoffsSun 3 Jan · Home4:25 PM ESTDetroit54%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 59%Tie <1%DET 41%48% → 26% – 48%PlayoffsSun 10 Jan · Away1:00 PM ESTMinnesota54%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 57%Tie <1%CHI 42%48% → 27% – 53%Playoffs

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-08-032026-08-13

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round bye6%

Chicago 13+ wins

Divisional Round
1ChicagoHomeWild Card Round winner4 Philadelphia or 5 Rams

Alongside it: Wild Card Round winner v Wild Card Round winner

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,266. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Chicago1520
2Seattle1160
3Atlanta1160
4Philadelphia1070
5Rams1160
6New Orleans1070
7Minnesota980
-Giants980
-49ers980
Win the division, host a Wild Card game18%

Chicago 10+ wins

Wild Card Round
2ChicagoHome7Seattle

Alongside it: 3 Philadelphia v 6 Dallas · 4 Tampa Bay v 5 Rams

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 3,541. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
149ers1520
2Chicago1241
3Philadelphia1160
4Tampa Bay1070
5Rams1250
6Dallas1070
7Seattle1070
-Detroit890
-Minnesota890
Wild Card berth, on the road24%

Chicago 9+ wins

Wild Card Round
3DetroitHome6Chicago

Alongside it: 2 Seattle v 7 Rams · 4 New Orleans v 5 49ers

  1. 48% of this route

  2. 34% of this route

  3. 18% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,349. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Philadelphia1700
2Seattle1610
3Detroit1430
4New Orleans1340
549ers1250
6Chicago1160
7Rams890
-Dallas7100
-Minnesota7100
-Washington6110
Miss the postseason52%

Chicago under 10.5 wins

  1. 72% of this route

  2. 14% of this route

  3. 14% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 7,429. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Atlanta1430
2Philadelphia1340
3Detroit1160
4Seattle1070
5Carolina1160
6Minnesota1160
7Dallas1160
-Green Bay980
-Washington980
-Chicago6110