NFL · 2026
Buffalo Bills1st AFC East - .750 pct vSat 19 Dec, 8:20 PM EST Chicago Bears2nd NFC North - .750 pct
Match resultBuffalo 59%Tie <1%Chicago 41%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 10% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 17 points in the Playoffs race.
Buffalo Bills
Playoffs70%
Division46%
Conferenceseason odds13%
Super Bowlseason odds7%
Byeseason odds12%
Chicago Bears
Playoffs59%
Division22%
Conferenceseason odds9%
Super Bowlseason odds5%
Byeseason odds8%
Buffalo winPlayoffsBuffalo Bills70%90%▲ +20Chicago Bears59%65%▲ +6
TiePlayoffsBuffalo Bills70%81%▲ +11Chicago Bears59%66%▲ +7
Chicago winPlayoffsBuffalo Bills70%78%▲ +8Chicago Bears59%82%▲ +23
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1BuffaloDivision46%3-1-0.750-2New EnglandDivision42%2-2-0.50013JetsDivision7%1-3-0.2502NFC North · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1MinnesotaDivision55%4-0-01.000-2ChicagoDivision22%3-1-0.75013DetroitDivision13%2-2-0.5002The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
3BuffaloPlayoffs70%3-1-0.7507New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.500The wild card · top 7 in the NFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
3ChicagoPlayoffs59%3-1-0.7507CarolinaPlayoffs47%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8AtlantaPlayoffs51%2-2-0.500