NFL · 2026
Atlanta Falcons2nd NFC South - .500 pct vSun 18 Oct, 1:00 PM EDT Chicago Bears2nd NFC North - .750 pct
Match resultAtlanta 50%Tie <1%Chicago 50%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 10% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 21 points in the Playoffs race.
Atlanta Falcons
Playoffs51%
Division40%
Conferenceseason odds5%
Super Bowlseason odds2%
Byeseason odds4%
Chicago Bears
Playoffs59%
Division22%
Conferenceseason odds9%
Super Bowlseason odds5%
Byeseason odds8%
Atlanta winPlayoffsAtlanta Falcons51%64%▲ +13Chicago Bears59%71%▲ +12
TiePlayoffsAtlanta Falcons51%54%▲ +3Chicago Bears59%74%▲ +15
Chicago winPlayoffsAtlanta Falcons51%43%▼ -8Chicago Bears59%88%▲ +29
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
NFC North · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1MinnesotaDivision55%4-0-01.000-2ChicagoDivision22%3-1-0.75013DetroitDivision13%2-2-0.5002NFC South · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1CarolinaDivision38%2-2-0.500-2AtlantaDivision40%2-2-0.500-3New OrleansDivision15%1-3-0.2501The wild card · top 7 in the NFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
3ChicagoPlayoffs59%3-1-0.7507CarolinaPlayoffs47%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8AtlantaPlayoffs51%2-2-0.500